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Pattern August '22

Its pretty weak, but looks like a storm in Forsyth county has a bit of supercell characteristics with a small hook. Not that it will do anything, but I wonder if anyone around that area can see any structure with it?E932C18E-FBD4-48BF-B50D-13E2E1466826.png
 
Finally a pleasant 84°F with a 76°F DP as of 11 AM instead of the boring northeatshiterlies here

Some high clouds moving in from the W dampening heating for the moment, but hopefully some scattered T-storms this evening with shortwave forcing and some clearing the next few hours
 
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StormDrain said:
Finally a pleasant 84°F with a 76°F DP as of 11 AM instead of the boring northeatshiterlies here

Some high clouds moving in from the W dampening heating for the moment, but hopefully some scattered T-storms this evening with shortwave forcing and some clearing the next few hours
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Update: Looks like storms with decent rainfall rates headed for me. Hearing distant rumbles of thunder now. Note the band of showers just S of me along the sea breeze front.
Screen Shot 2022-08-21 at 2.55.44 PM.png
 
Looking good! 9664ADCE-0AB3-453A-B5D7-7072CA3EE9C0.pngA4620C97-AB64-41CE-AEF5-C2A34A4BA904.png
 
The GFS has backed off on having most of us get 2+ inches of rain I see. Showing some areas with less than .50 over the next 16 days. GSP is already backing off on pops next Friday and Saturday and will probably go lower later on. We are quickly going into what are normally our driest couple of months each year. I do not see the tropics waking up either, so many of us may have to wait until November to get significant widespread rainfall. 2001 is the year that best fits what I think is coming up. We went 60 days straight days that fall without measurable rainfall here. The big heat probably is not over either. 100+ is still on the table for many of us.
 
JHS said:
The GFS has backed off on having most of us get 2+ inches of rain I see. Showing some areas with less than .50 over the next 16 days. GSP is already backing off on pops next Friday and Saturday and will probably go lower later on. We are quickly going into what are normally our driest couple of months each year. I do not see the tropics waking up either, so many of us may have to wait until November to get significant widespread rainfall. 2001 is the year that best fits what I think is coming up. We went 60 days straight days that fall without measurable rainfall here. The big heat probably is not over either. 100+ is still on the table for many of us.
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It's just hard to get extreme heat the later in the year it gets. It happens, but it's harder. Sun angle lower, not as much daylight, etc.
 
JHS said:
The GFS has backed off on having most of us get 2+ inches of rain I see. Showing some areas with less than .50 over the next 16 days. GSP is already backing off on pops next Friday and Saturday and will probably go lower later on. We are quickly going into what are normally our driest couple of months each year. I do not see the tropics waking up either, so many of us may have to wait until November to get significant widespread rainfall. 2001 is the year that best fits what I think is coming up. We went 60 days straight days that fall without measurable rainfall here. The big heat probably is not over either. 100+ is still on the table for many of us.
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False
 
I received 2.15 inches of rain at the house yesterday. That puts me at over five inches for the past week. I couldn't buy a drop of rain back in June and July when I needed it for my vegetable garden and now I've got more than I need. The garden did not do well this year, especially with any plant that grew on a vine because of the earlier dry conditions. If the current pattern continues to hold I might plant a fall/winter garden with some leafy vegetables and take advantage of the more frequent precipitation we are now receiving.
 
Insanity in Dallas this morning. Well over 8 inches of rain overnight. Could be their wettest August ever after not raining for weeks

Meanwhile an hour up the road it barely rained at all

We had rain for about 10 minutes here last night... Barely wet the pavement and now today is sunny and headed close to 90 again yay
 
It looks like the Hunga-Tonga Volcano is causing significant disruptions in the stratosphere with record breaking cooling. This could explain the extreme weather event's lately since aerosols take 6 months to cross hemispheres. Studies show this would cause significant warming in the troposphere, but the opposite is happening in Australia. They are getting record breaking cold and snow. Same for southern South America. Really don't know what this means for the mid term in the US, but the stratosphere temps in the North Hemisphere, just took a plunge. We are in unprecedented times with respect to modern civililization.

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