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Pattern August '22

Chattanooga got better winters than say Nashville from 2009-2020.. the past 2 have gone Nashville's way. I think the odds are trying to catch up somehow...
 
Really looking forward to this weekend. It'll be nice to take a break from oppressive heat and humidity.

From RAH:
.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
As of 305 AM Wednesday...

The extended forecast will have three separate regimes.

The first will occur Friday, with a secondary cold front keeping a
slight chance of thunderstorms in the forecast across the south -
the deterministic models are more aggressive in moving precipitation
to the south than the ensemble models, and have slightly expanded
the coverage of slight chance pops. Friday will be the coolest day
out of the next 7, with highs in the 80s everywhere and an isolated
spot possibly remaining in the 70s. What may be more noticeable are
the drier dewpoints, with values dropping about 10 degrees from
Friday morning to Saturday morning.

The second regime will occur on Saturday and Sunday, with minimal
cloud cover, no chance of rain, slightly below normal temperatures,
and dewpoints in the 50s and lower 60s. It will be ideal weather for
any outdoor activity across central North Carolina as high pressure
dominates the eastern United States.

The third regime will occur Monday and Tuesday. While temperatures
will remain slightly below normal, northwesterly flow aloft should
allow for a return to the typical summertime pattern of isolated to
scattered afternoon thunderstorms.

&&
 
Downeastnc said:
Feel good about widespread showers and storms later this afternoon and evening for MBY...
Click to expand...
If not today, then there's another good chance tomorrow as the front pushes in. Then it looks like a dry (cooler) weekend, and then more chances of storms starting next week. Right now, the heavier rain totals are setting up from Raleigh ( / northern piedmont) eastward.

European day 7 QPF:
1660132020760.png
 
FallsLake said:
If not today, then there's another good chance tomorrow as the front pushes in. Then it looks like a dry (cooler) weekend, and then more chances of storms starting next week. Right now, the heavier rain totals are setting up from Raleigh ( / northern piedmont) eastward.

European day 7 QPF:
View attachment 120577
Click to expand...
Tbh if those totals pan out that's not "that much" lol. As wet as July was around here, August has flipped the switch, 10 days in with only .1, had to start back watering my garden yesterday. If the Euro is correct through entire run, 10 days from now on Aug. 20th some of us will still be sitting on either side of an inch. Most likely there will be larger totals sprinkled in of course, as globals obviously struggle with convection qpf
 
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