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Pattern June 2022

Excessive heat warning for CLT metro. Currently
CAE 99
CLT 96
RDU 96
SPA 95
I think CAE would have easily eclipsed 100, maybe even 102 or so but it's been shown as mostly cloudy the past couple of hours in prime heating time. They may have hit it already though, or may yet. Terrible down there.
 
@SD What did I tell you about the heat?

Delayed but not denied.

And for those who were loving that cool NW flow and troughing y'all had all Spring while the drought across Texas and the SW worsened, that other shoe has now dropped.
Euro is a pretty classic heat evolution for the Carolinas with the airmass moving through Southern Canada into the northern US then being driven into the SE on the NW flow. The useless summer front moves through this weekend and the BL isn't able to recover so dews are already low next week then we mix in the 24-27°C 850s and you are looking at 100-107 with no BL moisture to hold warming back a few degrees. Enjoy the 50s and 60s this weekend
 
Obv some sites could have another degree to rise still but preliminary across the Carolinas looks like
CAE 102 (103?)
GSP 97
RDU 99
CLT 98
 
Peaked at 95 with 62% humidity at my house today. Grass cutting weather.
 
Wow fellas, tonight's GFS run says next week's heat tells this weeks heat to hold his beer... ?

gfs_T2m_us_33.png


gfs_T2m_us_37.png


gfs_T2m_us_41.png


gfs_T2m_us_45.png


This weather STINKS!
 
My heart goes out to ya CAE peeps :eek:

10Day_Forecast.jpg


TWC says this is too low


  • Moonset5:09 am

Tue 14​

103°/79°
Partly Cloudy

15%

W 7 mph

Wed 15​

101°/75°
Partly Cloudy

24%

NE 8 mph

Thu 16​

97°/76°
Partly Cloudy

20%

SE 5 mph

Fri 17​

100°/76°
Partly Cloudy

24%

W 7 mph

Sat 18​

96°/69°
Sunny

3%

NNE 9 mph

Sun 19​

92°/69°
Mostly Sunny

3%

NE 7 mph

Mon 20​

97°/73°
Partly Cloudy

2%

WSW 5 mph

Tue 21​

103°/77°
Mostly Sunny

0%

W 7 mph

Wed 22​

105°/78°
Mostly Sunny

11%

WNW 7 mph

Thu 23​

102°/77°
PM Thunderstorms

35%

WNW 7 mph

Fri 24​

98°/75°
PM Thunderstorms

36%

NNW 6 mph

Sat 25​

96°/72°
Partly Cloudy

24%

ENE 7 mph

Sun 26​

93°/74°
PM Thunderstorms

40%

ENE 7 mph

Mon 27​

94°/74
 
Last edited:
This setup reminds me of July 1st 2012 where we had winds gusting to 100+ over parts of the county/east.....it had been a 100 degree day with insane instability.....a derecho complex had passed to the north the night before leaving some old outflows that ran into the crazy unstable airmass at peak heating over eastern NC.....

nam3km_mslp_pcpn_frzn_seus_fh18-22.gif



"The deadly thunderstorms were fueled by the extreme heat affecting the Southeast, coupled with unusually high levels of moisture. The extraordinary heat and moisture caused high levels of atmospheric instability rarely seen. The Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE) in Eastern North Carolina and South Carolina at 2 pm EDT Sunday was 5000 to 6000 J/kg, with a lifted index of -14. The Morehead City NWS office analyzed CAPE levels in excess of 7000 J/kg (Figure 1) in the region, which is a truly rare occurrence."
 
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