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Wintry Jan 15-16 Winter Storm Discussion & Obs

Atlanta is too warm on the NAM, rain
Don’t look at temp profiles at all yet on the NAM. Just look at the overall trend and the NAM continues the weaker more sheared trend. It also has our LP riding the gulf. That’s going to change the landscape of what types of precip we see once we get in the shorter range
 
So with this NAM run what would cause North Alabama and South East Tennesse to get in on this? For it to slow down? or for the track to shift south even more?
 
Yes whether people want to believe it or not. NAM is good a sniffing temps regardless if it’s long range or not. Obviously it will get better as we get closer but still
Ehhhh. NAM temp profiles aren’t really accurate until we get around hr 48. Anything beyond that and it loses its value fast
 
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