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Tropical Major Hurricane Irma (Part 1)

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Storm5 said:
Longer time over land but to me it looks like the models have slowed down a little post landfall . A slower moving system is better than one that zips through like Opal did

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But wouldn't a track further west mean it's more possible for Irma to stay over the Gulf all the way until it gets to North FL ? Let's say it stays over the Gulf and makes landfall not far from Tallahassee. Wouldn't that be bad for GA ?
 
Storm5 said:
That's why is said strong wind gusts

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Yeah, oops, I missed that part! I'm one west shift away from not even getting rain! :(
 
SoutheastRidge said:
But wouldn't a track further west mean it's more possible for Irma to stay over the Gulf all the way until it gets to North FL ? Let's say it stays over the Gulf and makes landfall not far from Tallahassee. Wouldn't that be bad for GA ?
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Yes , seems unlikely at this point . But yes it would be bad

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Tarheel1 said:
Yeah, oops, I missed that part! I'm one west shift away from not even getting rain! :(
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That west shift may be commencing as we speak too....GFS hugging Cuba coastline
@36 turning north, gonna look like every other model at this point
 
helluva time to be on the Tower of Terror....
gfs_mslp_wind_seus_12.png
 
Inland track is a little east of 06z througj central georgia. Splitting hairs at this point

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I know these are winds at 850mb level but those winds just a few thousand feet up will get mixed down in gust from time to time so this can give a
Storm5 said:
Inland track is a little east of 06z througj central georgia. Splitting hairs at this point

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Yeah I noticed the NW turn not as pronounced but as you say kinda splitting hairs but still any deviation can be a big deal inland
 
metwannabe said:
I know these are winds at 850mb level but those winds just a few thousand feet up will get mixed down in gust from time to time so this can give a

Yeah I noticed the NW turn not as pronounced but as you say kinda splitting hairs but still any deviation can be a big deal inland
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Seems slower.
 
Lunch break over but again if these little W moves continue to move 20 miles or so by 12Z tomorrow she stays in the GOM... Will the trend continue no clue but long as it does it has to be recognized

... Carry on


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