December 2010 was pretty awesome looking at the stats 11 highs in the 30s at RDU and 2 snow events
2020-2021 Winter: Early Thoughts
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I thought this was going to be a mild to moderate La Niña.
Last report from a week ago says moderate to strong.
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Deleted member 1449
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Give me every bad forecast possible. They all did horrible when they said we'd have blockbuster winters so I'll take my chances on having the opposite.
Winter forecasts are like political polls. You can say a certain candidate will win all day, but the election is the only thing that matters.
Yeah chances of a strong Niña increasing substantially
The January 2017 storm literally pissed me off lol, I was hyped for like 6-10 inches of snow and I kept waiting and waiting for the sleet to changeover but it never did.
The last strong Nina was 2010-11.
Strong La Nina (-1.5 or colder peak) winters per the linked table: average 2-2.5 F warmer than normal. No big deal. I'll enjoy the winter just because it is the winter and way colder than any other season, the most enjoyable season with plenty of wild changes and many pleasant days even in a warmer than normal winter. Also, some of you may even luck out and get a big winter storm as more often than not there will be one somewhere at some point, especially in NC/TN:
https://origin.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/ensostuff/ONI_v5.php
2010-1, 2007-8, 1999-2000, 1998-9, 1988-9, 1975-6, 1973-4, 1955-6, 1949-50
https://origin.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/ensostuff/ONI_v5.php
2010-1, 2007-8, 1999-2000, 1998-9, 1988-9, 1975-6, 1973-4, 1955-6, 1949-50
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Brick Tamland
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I'm betting they are going to do warm and dry for the Southeast.
I could deal with 10-11 one of the snowiest winters recently here
Including the ice and snow week when the Super Bowl was here
Including the ice and snow week when the Super Bowl was here
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Deleted member 1449
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My guess is a cold December and torch the rest of the way.
indeed. If there is going to be one cold month, strong La Nina climo says Dec would be the most likely month. Actually, DEC, alone, for the 9 strong La Ninas averaged near normal vs the solid AN of Jan and Feb when the SER tends to take over.
I'd like a cold December. Aside from 2017 every December since 2011 has been warmer than normal for practically all of the SE US.