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September Sizzling Summer Segway

ryan1234 said:
Called it! Lol.
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Yeah nam showed some solid soundings, lots of backing tomorrow/turning low level wind fields north of the NC/SC border through the NC/VA border
 

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Myfrotho704_ said:
Yeah nam showed some solid soundings, lots of backing tomorrow/turning low level wind fields north of the NC/SC border through the NC/VA border
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Basically from around CLT and point north along the I-77 corridor. Only thing that may diminish the threat if we see some convection later on tonight. We shall see.
 
Ugh...last run puts many of us under an atmospheric fault line. Days of rain. Thick humid and ugly.


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ATLwxfan said:
Ugh...last run puts many of us under an atmospheric fault line. Days of rain. Thick humid and ugly.


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If that verifies, at least there won’t be any drought for your area this September like there was last year. I remember getting less then a quarter of an inch of rain during all of September 2019.
 
Thinking about chasing tomorrow esp Surry County NC i77 south. Someone’s gonna flood too of NAM is right
 
BHS1975 said:
And any TCs will get pulled inland.
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Actually gonna disagree with this. Believe front is just slowing down to save us and in regards to timing/tropics. Front will push it out when it decide to form.
 
^^Yeah the 12z GFS would be a nightmare for the Carolinas north into SE New England. The cool air would get hung up west of the Apps and the gravy train of moist warm tropical air would dominate the eastern areas for a good portion of the mid/extended timespan. Dew points would struggle to get below 70 for the Carolinas in the mid term and then extend into SE New England in the long term. I'm really hoping the 12z Canadian is correct; it would allow the cool down to cross the Apps. It looked like the 0z Euro was actually closer the latest GFS; lets hope the 12z turns towards the Canadian. **sick of this humid air.
 
The front getting hung up like that seems really wonky. 50’s to the gulf coast from Texas to Alabama but low 70’s in north GA for overnight lows. Though if the cold air doesn’t make it into the northeast I can understand not getting any CAD flow.

FFC by the way has no interest in this stuff. They are more interested in the oppressively hot week ahead.


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ATLwxfan said:
The front getting hung up like that seems really wonky. 50’s to the gulf coast from Texas to Alabama but low 70’s in north GA for overnight lows. Though if the cold air doesn’t make it into the northeast I can understand not getting any CAD flow.

FFC by the way has no interest in this stuff. They are more interested in the oppressively hot week ahead.


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I've seen that happen before, especially in Sept/Oct
 
ATLwxfan said:
The front getting hung up like that seems really wonky. 50’s to the gulf coast from Texas to Alabama but low 70’s in north GA for overnight lows. Though if the cold air doesn’t make it into the northeast I can understand not getting any CAD flow.

FFC by the way has no interest in this stuff. They are more interested in the oppressively hot week ahead.


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Sadly, happens all the time in winter! BNA can have highs in the 20s, while GSP to CLT bask in the 50s and 60s
 
Tarheel1 said:
Sadly, happens all the time in winter! BNA can have highs in the 20s, while GSP to CLT bask in the 50s and 60s
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I remember growing up near Hartwell Lake and always wondering how Atlanta could be in the 30s all day while we were in the upper 50s.

I used to call it the great wall...

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Tarheel1 said:
Sadly, happens all the time in winter! BNA can have highs in the 20s, while GSP to CLT bask in the 50s and 60s
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God bless the Appalachian mountains , otherwise we could see colder records . Nashville dropped to -17 in 1985 . Yikes , not even Asheville which is significantly elevated got that cold. Knoxville dropped to -24 and it is not even at a significant elevation either !
 
Tarheel1 said:
Sadly, happens all the time in winter! BNA can have highs in the 20s, while GSP to CLT bask in the 50s and 60s
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I agree it happens but the frontal orientation is usually a bit more southwest to northeast. The orientation here with ridging along both coasts is a little less common although it does happen.


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Lickwx said:
God bless the Appalachian mountains , otherwise we could see colder records . Nashville dropped to -17 in 1985 . Yikes , not even Asheville which is significantly elevated got that cold. Knoxville dropped to -24 and it is not even at a significant elevation either !
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Those mountains also give us CAD. While we may suffer because of cold not getting across the mountains, we can score winter weather when the cold gets trapped/banked on the east side (,,as areas west of the Apps are considerably warmer).
 
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Euro with the same cold front surging in, but will it stall like the GFS is the question. Looks like the Euro has more of a West to East push instead of a NW to SE push.
 
Lickwx said:
God bless the Appalachian mountains , otherwise we could see colder records . Nashville dropped to -17 in 1985 . Yikes , not even Asheville which is significantly elevated got that cold. Knoxville dropped to -24 and it is not even at a significant elevation either !
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I've always wondered about the validity of that Knoxville record during the Jan '85 arctic outbreak. Chattanooga got -10, and Knox almost always runs about 3-5 degrees colder, under prime radiation cooling scenarios.
 
I wonder how cold the deep south got in 1994. It was -36 in Indiana and -37 in Kentucky !
 
SETNwx said:
I've always wondered about the validity of that Knoxville record during the Jan '85 arctic outbreak. Chattanooga got -10, and Knox almost always runs about 3-5 degrees colder, under prime radiation cooling scenarios.
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I wish I remembered this time period, but I was an infant. Below is what Blairsville, GA recorded at that time, maybe Rosie remembers this if she was around then. Look at that extended cold period, I can't even imagine...

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KATL

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Banner Elk, NC

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Sorry, I know this is all completely unrelated to September.
 
Dewpoint Dan said:
I wonder how cold the deep south got in 1994. It was -36 in Indiana and -37 in Kentucky !
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I remember being able to walk on the pond as it was about 6"+ thick. I think that was after we picked up 1/4" of ice plus snow. Sledding was epic for days and days and I think we had highs in the teens.
 
FallsLake said:
Those mountains also give us CAD. While we may suffer because of cold not getting across the mountains, we can score winter weather when the cold gets trapped/banked on the east side (,,as areas west of the Apps are considerably warmer).
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What’s CAD?
 
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