Yep end of the NAM looked like it had some good hail producing storms Friday afternoon ... the severe season that keeps on giving I supposeThis little guy says don't ignore me and my cold pool Friday afternoonView attachment 40673
Like I said, two rounds. The main line will move into rain cooler air around 3am-5am. Meh.Pretty robust leftover mesoscale convective vortex (MCV) is evident on visible in eastern Alabama, and is causing local backing of the surface winds there. The additional low-level shear, moisture transport, & lift afforded by the eastern-southeastern flank of this MCV will become a hot spot for new convective development in Georgia and the western portion of the Carolinas later this afternoon & evening & it'll likely provide a legit wave of pre-frontal convection a few-several hours before the primary squall line comes knocking.
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Like I said, two rounds. The main line will move into rain cooler air around 3am-5am. Meh.
That is an interesting feature for sure.Pretty robust leftover mesoscale convective vortex (MCV) is evident on visible in eastern Alabama, and is causing local backing of the surface winds there. The additional low-level shear, moisture transport, & lift afforded by the eastern-southeastern flank of this MCV will become a hot spot for new convective development in Georgia and the western portion of the Carolinas later this afternoon & evening & it'll likely provide a legit wave of pre-frontal convection a few-several hours before the primary squall line comes knocking.
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Round one is largely after 9pm. Round two in TN is wee hours of the morning. View attachment 40683
It’s different when you have mountains and upslope that can wring out moisture and thus delay the movement East a hair. I fully expect most will sleep through this unless your in the mountains with better timing.Models were a couple of hours slow on this one yesterday right? Or was I imagining things.
Pretty robust leftover mesoscale convective vortex (MCV) is evident on visible in eastern Alabama, and is causing local backing of the surface winds there. The additional low-level shear, moisture transport, & lift afforded by the eastern-southeastern flank of this MCV will become a hot spot for new convective development in Georgia and the western portion of the Carolinas later this afternoon & evening & it'll likely provide a legit wave of pre-frontal convection a few-several hours before the primary squall line comes knocking.
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And there goes the slight risk area...
Brad is terrible he didn’t expect tornado warnings for Charlotte when upstate had those three supercells. Numerous times he tells viewers last minute once it’s actually on the doorstep never in advance.Pretty much matches what Brad said on his VLOG. He is not too concerned about the chances for severe weather. The MCV is an interesting feature though. It's just odd to have so many varying thoughts. GSP says yes, SPC says meh, as does Brad. Someone has to be wrong, question is... who?