Yep
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Severe 4/28-30 2020 Severe Chance
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
Yep
Ugh, surface CAPE is a lot higher too. This has been one of the most active severe weather seasons I can remember in a long time.
Yeah, no please 
SWB
Member
Jrips2710
Member
The NAM needs to earn its way back into our good graces after the last couple of events lol. It’s been pitiful.
Yeah the NAM 12km especially, showed death soundings for much of NC/SC with the event last Thursday that ended up never even getting close to verifying, NAM 3km was ehh on that event, but it did well with the Easter event, and somewhat well with the supercell trio event back on Saturday
So far the models are in suprisingly good agreement East 
yes, surprising on the agreement. I'd be very worried about straightline winds with that setup
Dawgdaze22
Member
Phil
Member
I am not much of a weather geek, as a matter of fact I hate this time of year...I live in South Carolina and if I had my choice I would move to Siberia...That said I joined here to learn a little bit....So what's the damage for South Carolina in all this?
Hrrrv4, while low dew points reduce the tornado threat and CAPE, it can increase the wind threat by the process of evaporative cooling and cause stronger downdrafts 
Phil
Member
OK. I am a rookie so what exactly is that telling me?
Squall line with some damaging winds is possible to likely now, dry air can help aid in damaging winds
Downeastnc
Member
It does seem that its looking like either colder drier system with more fall like squall line characteristics or a extremely skinny cape setup with a very focused surge of cape and dews right along the front but that still favors straight line squall type events though it would increase the chances of a QLCS spin up since they are all the rage this season.....so I am still waiting for my day with discrete supercells to track/chase here in eastern NC though I think May is a bit better for that around here as we get some enhanced tornado threat from the sea breeze which doesn't really show up till May at the earliest....
If that doesn't scream your classic QLCS than I don't what does. Not liking some of those discrete cells being depicted either.
The scary part is we've done a lot more, with a lot less. Example: Reedy Creek tornado. Strong EF2 with no warning. Even scarier our radar coverage in Charlotte is downright pitiful. Great write up from the WP if you're curious.
accu35
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That crap is funny right there