F-5
Member
Raining baseballs already in S. Mississippi.
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4/19/20-4/20/20 Severe Weather
- Thread starter Webberweather53
- Start date
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- Tags
- severe weather tornadoes wind
gawxnative
Member
Seeing in some tweets SPC going High Risk in Day 1 coming out shortly??
Jrips2710
Member
That is the rumor on twitter. Apparently someone saw it in an NWS chat but so far I haven’t seen any proof. Could just be made up. We will see in about 20!
Yep this guy says that’s what they are saying in the NWS chat. Looks to be for SE Mississippi into central and southern Alabama. Moderate expanded further east too. If this is true of course.
gawxnative
Member
NOT the breaking news I would want... with "ours" being overnight most likely... Ok while keeping 6 foot seperation.. everyone line up, facing south and play part of Big Bad Wolf from the 3 Little Pigs... LOL
I'm honestly a little surprised. I said early yesterday that I could see a high risk if everything was playing out perfectly. Honestly though my confidence is less in that at this point. Not that the danger is less, just more uncertain at this point. That said the latest RAP is a nightmare. Much more bullish on instability than the WRFs or HRRR. Would also paint a significant nighttime issue for central AL.
gawxnative
Member
Yes was thinking that with everything of last week, that one looked more "needing" of High Risk... with the "record" wind fields/shear.
Last I saw looks like SPC might be changing there mind at the last second. Might not be a high risk.
Edit: Yep, no high risk but moderate expanded east some.
Edit: Yep, no high risk but moderate expanded east some.
Brent
Member
No high risk
Two areas mentioned for strong tornadoes West Central AL and the areas in MS hit last week
Two areas mentioned for strong tornadoes West Central AL and the areas in MS hit last week
Jrips2710
Member
Good troll job. That’s a huge moderate risk lol 
Best move IMO, wait until you see how the warm sector looks tommorow then pull the trigger if needed.
Lol why is CLT in a marginal/slight, looks like stratiform rain at this point
Jrips2710
Member
The northern gradient on those tornado probabilities is hilarious. So tight.
Not sure if this guy is legit but thought i would share
Not sure if this guy is legit but thought i would share
Snowflowxxl
Member
Roof collapsing rain drops
ahh this is probably why, RAP still holding steady
Sounding near clt
Sounding near clt
HRRR slowly bringing the warm front northward with each run. It has 3000 sbcape knocking on Shelby County by 19z.
It’s worth noting that the hrrr has brought the warm front north
01z
05z
01z
05z
Jrips2710
Member
HRRR trending north 
Looks like it's falling to the RAP, which is downright nasty. The nocturnal threat on the RAP has sbcapes ~2000 with helicity increasing to 400+ up to BHM.
yeah That nocturnal threat ain’t no joke, hodographs are actually quite similar to the ones observed with the Easter system during the night, hodograph is very cylonic up into the troposphere aswell which may help supercellular structures break out in the line
