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Round Oak Weather
Member
Wasn’t this last storm a cutter that trended south?
Cad Wedge NC
Member
Yes it was and if I recall, the GFS / FV3 was the first to pick up on it.
GeorgiaGirl
Member
Actually, the FV3 showed a winter storm, then was cutting consistently while other models were south, then eventually I think on the day we started the storm thread for this previous winter storm, it pumped out an absolute weenie clown map and pretty much locked into a SE winter storm the rest of the way.
It showed the winter storm at HR 384, btw lmao.
It showed the winter storm at HR 384, btw lmao.
pcbjr
Member
EPO looks to go negative, PNA a raging positive, AO way down ... and every forecast is for a warm 2nd half of the month ... what could go (be) wrong? Maybe MJO phases 4 and 5 ... 
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Yeah but, those temps won't be cooking if there was a phase. #BringOnThePhase
This winter is going to be full of stress/excitement, all these potential and likely storms
Yea here it is.
Brent
Member
Hmmmm :weenie:
Storm5
Member
Brent
Member
Lock it up !!! We should start a thread for you
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Lol!
News started teasing it... storm cancel
Thanks! I hope we get a good one this winter!
Could Oklahoma have 2 nam bust in a week. LolLol!
News started teasing it... storm cancel
Brent
Member
I was thinking the same thing lol
If the NAM is still showing this tomorrow I am starting a storm thread !
Brent
Member
these cold cores are so sneaky, go big or go bust basically
but this one gonna have 40-50 mph wind gusts possibly too
Brent
Member
Lets get that 11 inches more NE lmao
Go big or go home :weenie:
I actually don't get much if that map verifies being NE of Dallas
Gonna be a difficult forecast
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Tarheel1
I TOLD YALL IT WASN’T GOING TO SNOW
Member
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Rain cold, I got about 1 1/2 inch of sleet out of about 3.2” of qpf!! Temp was 34 degrees at lowest point! What could have been......?
The stickage and accums on the roads especially, were very impressive for a 34-37 degree sleet event! Rates did overcome !!!
The stickage and accums on the roads especially, were very impressive for a 34-37 degree sleet event! Rates did overcome !!!
Ilovesnow28
Member
View attachment 9067 Hmmm could it finally be a winter storm for us in the deep South
Here is the 0z run of the fvs-gfs I know it is long range. But the potential is there for something big after the 20th of this month. Classic look for southeast storm.
Posted at the same time. lol great minds think alike.
Brent
Member
that Christmas timeframe already looking spicy
Euro keeps the snow SW of me Friday
Euro keeps the snow SW of me Friday
Ilovesnow28
Member
Amen to that... I'm putting my chips in around that period I mean we have to finally score big on that period... Also I still think we have a chance at some snow this weekend from a upper level low... Models have been consistently showing a upper level low swing through from Texas through Alabama
Ilovesnow28
Member
Brent that upper level low is going to bring you the goods Friday don't worry...that Christmas timeframe already looking spicy
Euro keeps the snow SW of me Friday
Yes it does.that Christmas timeframe already looking spicy
Euro keeps the snow SW of me Friday
Ilovesnow28
Member
Upper level could bring us some early suprises this weekend... Yeah I'm all in on this one models been showing this since Saturday and it's now Tuesday
Yup, that's the one! It needs to track way south than that though. If it does, the deep south is in business for a big snow storm.
Brent
Member
cold cores are so tricky its usually either boom or bust
But nobody expected Lubbock to get 10 inches and look what happened lol
Ilovesnow28
Member
Right they were caught off guard... Maybe we can get caught off guard with the upper level low too
THIS NEEDS TO SHIFT FURTHER SOUTH SO US SHELBY CO ALABAMA FOLKS CAN GET IN ON THE ACTION
Brent
Member
Ilovesnow28
Member
I agree... I think if we all can get a massive snowstorm from Texas through Georgia that lays down 10 to 20 inches of snow we all will be satisfied
Ilovesnow28
Member
I'm in Tuscaloosa county so I agree
Ilovesnow28
Member
Man I know they probably is pissed from that loljust ask OKC how their two feet of snow is going
GFS 0z continues to show that low. You can tell there is a very tall ridge out west. It's pushing the disurbance southward, which is good. We want that text book Miller A track, no warm noses to deal with all the way from the deep south to Maine!
Brent
Member
I long for this lol
Almost sorta happened last year but a lot got the shaft including me
Arjen Robben
Member
Looks like cold chasing rain. Add a northwest trend to that and it will just be another cold rain for most of us.
Brent
Member
West of me but :weenie::weenie::weenie:
Brent
Member
So it begins first snow forecast from the NWS
Thursday Night
Rain likely before midnight, then a chance of rain and snow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 39. Windy, with a north northwest wind around 25 mph, with gusts as high as 40 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Friday
A chance of rain and snow before noon. Mostly sunny, with a high near 51. Windy, with a north northwest wind 15 to 25 mph, with gusts as high as 40 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Thursday Night
Rain likely before midnight, then a chance of rain and snow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 39. Windy, with a north northwest wind around 25 mph, with gusts as high as 40 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Friday
A chance of rain and snow before noon. Mostly sunny, with a high near 51. Windy, with a north northwest wind 15 to 25 mph, with gusts as high as 40 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.