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Pattern December - Deal or No Deal?

Euro ensembles must not be convinced of an overly strong HP

So far it’s GFS vs Euro/CMC/FV3?..ruh roh

I don't know, CMC looks ok to me (no matter what the precip map shows) at this range. I'd say it's currently GFS, GEFS, ENS, CMC versus EURO and FV3 at this point.

gem_mslpa_us_37.png
 
Fairly good model agreement between GEFS/EPS at day 8. Surprisingly good.

View attachment 7819

What is the ideal high pressure location for the high? I notice the EURO is more in the plains but has more of a CAD signature, while the GEFS looks like it's in the optimal location and has less off a CAD signature?

I've always seen it's best to be in the NE, or in the lakes.
 
What is the ideal high pressure location for the high? I notice the EURO is more in the plains but has more of a CAD signature, while the GEFS looks like it's in the optimal location and has less off a CAD signature?

I've always seen it's best to be in the NE, or in the lakes.

That’s what I think too. Lakes extending into NY with a stout Newfoundland low.
 
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