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Misc Winter Whamby 2020, a New Decade

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Well, I bit last Friday but I need to unbite by Wednesday if I want to stay home and keep my security deposit..I’m going to keep model watching for a few more days. I feel decent about it though

I just bit the bullet. Our place is 3,770 feet in elevation, so if I fail this weekend then I will suspend myself from chasing. Will be my first trip to Maggie Valley.
 
I just bit the bullet. Our place is 3,770 feet in elevation, so if I fail this weekend then I will suspend myself from chasing. Will be my first trip to Maggie Valley.
Plenty of elevation nearby if it happens to go south. I hope we can trend a little wetter/colder this week. Good luck???
 
GFS MIGHT throw us a bone Feb 5-7 but we had better make it happen bc that’s likely the bulk of the board’s last/only hoorah
 
Eh Dumb question, remember BAMwx said the strat PV being strong means winter is over I should know that even with many other factors
 
How in deeee f*cckkk is it to so easy to get warmth yet so hard to get things our way and cold our way
That really is a good question! I mean you would think once in a while we could fall into a good pattern?! I know we live in the SE (hate hearing that 500 million times every winter) It has snowed here and Snowed a lot at times, It CAN HAPPEN!!!!
 
If only Chattanooga was at 4500ft above sea level and Kentucky was a great lake. Let's all admit, we could lose Kentucky to a vast body of water in the name of decent southern winters, not that big of a loss...
 
Thought this was interesting. For Raleigh it looks like almost 50% of the time it will see 3”+ of snow after being skunked up to this point of the winter. But, almost the same odds we see less than an 1” rest of the way.

 
Thought this was interesting. For Raleigh it looks like almost 50% of the time it will see 3”+ of snow after being skunked up to this point of the winter. But, almost the same odds we see less than an 1” rest of the way.


Even more interesting is 7 years 10+ at RDU, only 2 for GSO and if you go to the 5+ it's 11 yrs for RDU compared to 6 GSO. Coastals, as we near the end of Winter, can wipe out any deficit real quick.
 
Even more interesting is 7 years 10+ at RDU, only 2 for GSO and if you go to the 5+ it's 11 yrs for RDU compared to 6 GSO. Coastals, as we near the end of Winter, can wipe out any deficit real quick.

Looks like about 134 years in there data set and we’ve seen 14 years with less than an 1”. So about 1 in 10. We were due for this. After looking at the 0z EPS VP forecast for first half of Feb I’m ready to throw in towel.
 
I'm bout sick of looking at models and wishing for some cold and snow! I'm just about ready to thrown the towel in again. I usually don't do that twice in one winter, but this one is turning out to be really special!?

I keep model watching to see when spring comes since it isn't going to snow. #Donewiththisdumpsterfireofawinter. #bringon60's #ismyfirsthastagtoolong
 
I keep model watching to see when spring comes since it isn't going to snow. #Donewiththisdumpsterfireofawinter. #bringon60's #ismyfirsthastagtoolong
#willnotreadhashtagsthatareoverazillioncharactersbutitmakessense
 
Not enthusiastic about the 6z GFS making that drastic a jump, but I'll see what the euro says at 12z to decide if I'll continue to track that period semi seriously continue being dragged along.
 
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