Brick Tamland
Member
Over a foot of snow at my house this winter. Bank on it.
What worries me most is all that warm air over Siberia. We need that region of the world to build snowpack to become the cold source for later in the winter. Hopefully the above normal temps can still get below freezing and drop snow (in Siberia that's possible).I’m intrigued by this ! Maybe if we have polar vortex disruption in Septic and October, it’ll actually happen befor March for a change! View attachment 122243
Ollie, how did the CanSip do last year?CanSIP looks good for the first part of the year. Typical Nina look.View attachment 122766
I'd be more interested to know how it's doing at 1 month and 3 month leads so far this year.Ollie, how did the CanSip do last year?
Perhaps one of these La Niñas will actually look like a La Niña with a front loaded cold first half of winter and early spring the 2nd halfEURO seasonal outlooks (remember that they had a warm October just a month ago so grains of salt obviously) show a cooler than average beginning to winter (November and December) and a warmer look for January and February.. maybe a December to remember ??
Don't these seasonal models rely pretty heavily on climo as you get toward the longer leads? I don't know their algorithms, but I think I remember hearing that.EURO seasonal outlooks (remember that they had a warm October just a month ago so grains of salt obviously) show a cooler than average beginning to winter (November and December) and a warmer look for January and February.. maybe a December to remember ??
Yes, I have been looking at areas like Omsk, Khatanga, Yakutsk in Siberia and Im amazed at the warmth. I bet residents (what few there are) are thankful, but will tell you in a heartbeat that its not like it once was. Maybe cold air will be transient and well distributed this year, but I'm like you, I'd rather see a good snowpack and cold build there first and foremost.What worries me most is all that warm air over Siberia. We need that region of the world to build snowpack to become the cold source for later in the winter. Hopefully the above normal temps can still get below freezing and drop snow (in Siberia that's possible).
I count itLet's see if Sept is well below normal like 75/00 was. Would love something like this below...
View attachment 120911
Can’t wait for another Halloween snowstorm for SC! That kickstarted the best winter ever!