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Wintry Winter Discussion 2023/24

Mei gonna take some leaps up here soon, expect these consistent WWBs to help push the 3.4 region to be near 2.0 in a month or so, and the MEI should respond. AAM is negative because there needs to be some sort of influence from tropical forcing, but tropical forcing/mjo pulses have been to weak thus no disturbance to NHEM AAM
 
MB22 said:
Months ranked worst to first:
12. July
11. August
10. September
9. June
8. May
7. April
6. October
5. November
4. March
3. December
2. February
1. January
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For me:
12. July
11. June
10. August (August better than June b/c the trend and sun angle)
9. May
8. April (too many allergies and bugs)
7. September
6. March
5. Feb (has become a Spring month)
4. October
3. November
2. December
1. January
 
Haha Doug Kammerer NBC4 Washington. He's usually pretty good. He was mad he labeled the season wrong, but very bullish on the Mid-Atlantic for this Winter. Maybe that translates into the South.

image.png.72e23a451fd847cd50da2011219659d5.png
 
MB22 said:
Haha Doug Kammerer NBC4 Washington. He's usually pretty good. He was mad he labeled the season wrong, but very bullish on the Mid-Atlantic for this Winter. Maybe that translates into the South.

View attachment 137771
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Typically an above average snowfall year in the Mid Atlantic will translate to more opportunities for the Carolinas and northern Georgia as it gives more chances for stronger CAD.
 
Chazwin said:
Typically an above average snowfall year in the Mid Atlantic will translate to more opportunities for the Carolinas and northern Georgia as it gives more chances for stronger CAD.
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Yeah if you follow the contours down from Virginia it looks pretty promising for you guys.
 
Myfrotho704_ said:
Mei gonna take some leaps up here soon, expect these consistent WWBs to help push the 3.4 region to be near 2.0 in a month or so, and the MEI should respond. AAM is negative because there needs to be some sort of influence from tropical forcing, but tropical forcing/mjo pulses have been to weak thus no disturbance to NHEM AAM
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#Wishcasting..... MEI is not going much higher than it is now. It may climb a little, but we are not looking at a super nino.
 
Lotta hype building. After last years dud, 15-20 mega Frost would be an improvement.
Maybe we get the Rubber band theory or better yet, since we all got skunked last year, maybe we double our annual Climo avg this year to balance it out.
 
SimeonNC said:
Not an expert by any means but it's probably a no brainer to you that your neck of the woods in South Alabama isn't really the best place winter wise. The saving grace is that you're west of the Apps so any cold shots won't be blocked/muted unlike places further east like Macon, Savannah, southern SC, ect.
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I’m going 50” + winter season total here!
 
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