Which is about reliable as all other winter forecast. ///But I agree, there's nothing statistical that proves this right. Just a lot of memories of early (cold) season storms, with lots of excitement about a great upcoming winter, and then ultimately a warm winter.I think that theory is about as reliable as looking at wooly worms.
There's been a lot of talk about the wooly worms the past 3 or4 years and we see where that got usWhich is about reliable as all other winter forecast. ///But I agree, there's nothing statistical that proves this right. Just a lot of memories of early (cold) season storms, with lots of excitement about a great upcoming winter, and then ultimately a warm winter.
Wooly worms, bird activity, acorns, morning fog and whatever other myths is poop. Only way we know if the winter will have snow is when its falling from the sky.There's been a lot of talk about the wooly worms the past 3 or4 years and we see where that got us
I don’t know about that…2012-2013 ended fairly cool after Sandy came in around HalloweenI'm mostly kidding, but the "theory" is any kind of big storm (nor'easter or hurricane) around Halloween signifies an upcoming warm winter.
In my experiences down south, a big cold shot or big snowstorm in the mountains in October, usually equates to a crap winter 8 out of ten times! See October storm of 1991 Halloween storm, Mt Mitchell got like 4’ of snow, if I recall it was a crappy winter that followed!?
Bring it onIf you can find enough cold air from the north, and a southern storm track, the Gulf and Carribean are a powder keg of warm moisture ready to supply copious storm fuel...at or above record water temperatures when comparing back to 1982...
It was ok. I had a couple of 2" events.I don’t know about that…2012-2013 ended fairly cool after Sandy came in around Halloween
Somehow the dry slot will cut totals by halfIf you can find enough cold air from the north, and a southern storm track, the Gulf and Carribean are a powder keg of warm moisture ready to supply copious storm fuel...at or above record water temperatures when comparing back to 1982...
LOL! I just put the pic I took of the ones I cut open today in the whamby.Anybody checked the seeds in the persimmons yet? 80% accuracy ?
Good to know my hunch about this winter having a high potential for a HECS has some actual support and isn't a complete wishcast XDIf you can find enough cold air from the north, and a southern storm track, the Gulf and Carribean are a powder keg of warm moisture ready to supply copious storm fuel...at or above record water temperatures when comparing back to 1982...
Damn. Already???View attachment 137393
First big mountain system I’ve seen so far on models! We are getting closer and closer
Greenland and Siberia cashing in. Poor North AmericaAll the sudden not a huge fan of climate models