Looking like your gonna get around 16ft and 7 inches. ?I see all the talk is winter weather memories of the past. is there any new information on or outlooks for this upcoming winter?
Well, to be safe I'd cut those wild proggs by half you know. Make it ~8ftLooking like your gonna get around 16ft and 7 inches. ?
Nothing but waiting for at least two weeks to see what might lay beyond.I see all the talk is winter weather memories of the past. is there any new information on or outlooks for this upcoming winter?
It’s what you do when you get old!We need a walk down memory lane thread for stories, memories, results comparisons, near misses, disappointments, good ole days musings, talk of yesteryear, and tales from the days of yore.
Aren’t we all lolIt’s what you do when you get old!
January 2011 wasn't too shabby either.Clint, we did in Feb 2021 and actually two systems and it was even colder then. Se of little rock had 20-25 inches then?
Looking at the trough placement on the CFS, it appears just more of the same pattern to me. The trough continually sets up from NW to SE in the east, centered over Quebec to just about 800 miles off the SE coast of NC. Not good for anyone west of Raleigh.Outside of the mid week clipper, its gonna be a spring feel December, espeacilly next weekend. The CFS lines up well with Grits forecast, has it snowing in Florida as New year opens up and we head back to work lol. Everyone who forecasted a punt for atleast the first 2 weeks of December, will nail it. The exception, our northern mtn counties will get the ground covered mid week with the clipper.
Hopefully the last 2 weeks of Dec. will be like 2015. It would be warm and our drought would be gone.Outside of the mid week clipper, its gonna be a spring feel December, espeacilly next weekend. The CFS lines up well with Grits forecast, has it snowing in Florida as New year opens up and we head back to work lol. Everyone who forecasted a punt for atleast the first 2 weeks of December, will nail it. The exception, our northern mtn counties will get the ground covered mid week with the clipper.
A foot or two of snow would soak in better.Hopefully the last 2 weeks of Dec. will be like 2015. It would be warm and our drought would be gone.
I was getting excited till saw joe bastardi s name…!sounds like some of his over hyped bs be honest …. But I do expect a change later this month …. But cold till February in southeast come on lol
I would agree if we get either a SSW that focuses cold here or big ridge over Alaska, which extreme cold is very unusual in a stronger niño imoLord you hate to be in agreement with Joe B but that extreme cold idea is gaining some steam imo as well. I think it would be right around the new year into the first week of Jan if it happens
Yeah I'm not a big believer in extreme cold in a nino so that's part of the reason I'm not on the horse of big time cold but I do see how the ridge could get poleward here and dump some coldI would agree if we get either a SSW that focuses cold here or big ridge over Alaska, which extreme cold is very unusual in a stronger niño imo
Through March at least!I was getting excited till saw joe bastardi s name…!sounds like some of his over hyped bs be honest …. But I do expect a change later this month …. But cold till February in southeast come on lol
I know it's been mentioned quite a bit, but it will be until at least end of December before things change and that depends on progression of the mjo and we need a pacific reset somehow some way. December's really are notorious as being warm in niños. Alot of opinions at American Weather on how things evolve.Yeah I'm not a big believer in extreme cold in a nino so that's part of the reason I'm not on the horse of big time cold but I do see how the ridge could get poleward here and dump some cold
I'm not so sure the SE averages much if at all above normal for December when all is said and done. We'll go into the last third of the month slightly above after transient cool and warm periods and depending on how fast and intense the end-of-month cooldown begins will tell the tale.I know it's been mentioned quite a bit, but it will be until at least end of December before things change and that depends on progression of the mjo and we need a pacific reset somehow some way. December's really are notorious as being warm in niños. Alot of opinions at American Weather on how things evolve.
I love that you're doing this.My thoughts on the upcoming weather pattern. Decided to go 10-30 day instead of 15-35 as I want to see the extended periods at least get into the regular ensemble range
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Looks like we've regressed a bit or the typical "delayed" look.My thoughts on the upcoming weather pattern. Decided to go 10-30 day instead of 15-35 as I want to see the extended periods at least get into the regular ensemble range
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Delayed but not denied?Looks like we've regressed a bit or the typical "delayed" look.![]()
Thanks Grit...love the meters!My thoughts on the upcoming weather pattern. Decided to go 10-30 day instead of 15-35 as I want to see the extended periods at least get into the regular ensemble range
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I love his forecast, but not the grits part.I love grits, and Grit's forecast graphics.
It would take a monumental cold period to negate this week for the total of December. Through four days KATL is +10.I'm not so sure the SE averages much if at all above normal for December when all is said and done. We'll go into the last third of the month slightly above after transient cool and warm periods and depending on how fast and intense the end-of-month cooldown begins will tell the tale.
Yep. IAD is +6.9It would take a monumental cold period to negate this week for the total of December. Through four days KATL is +10.
Not really. The month is only 5 days old.It would take a monumental cold period to negate this week for the total of December. Through four days KATL is +10.
I think we would want to see it within 10-15 days out to feel more comfortable with it happening or moving up in time. I am hoping your correct.Yall remember when we talked about that big high in Siberia? Cold high pressure diving into SE Asia is usually a good launching point for processes that lead to cold east of the Rockies (Today's Euro Weeklies here)
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Can someone explain what this means iv never understood this map.View attachment 138350Best one of these I’ve seen in a minute