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Wintry Winter Discussion 2023/24

I see all the talk is winter weather memories of the past. is there any new information on or outlooks for this upcoming winter?
 
Oh no, not again................. Ugly run of the CANSIPS
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Rain Cold said:
We need a walk down memory lane thread for stories, memories, results comparisons, near misses, disappointments, good ole days musings, talk of yesteryear, and tales from the days of yore.
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It’s what you do when you get old!
 
Outside of the mid week clipper, its gonna be a spring feel December, espeacilly next weekend. The CFS lines up well with Grits forecast, has it snowing in Florida as New year opens up and we head back to work lol. Everyone who forecasted a punt for atleast the first 2 weeks of December, will nail it. The exception, our northern mtn counties will get the ground covered mid week with the clipper.
 
NCSNOW said:
Outside of the mid week clipper, its gonna be a spring feel December, espeacilly next weekend. The CFS lines up well with Grits forecast, has it snowing in Florida as New year opens up and we head back to work lol. Everyone who forecasted a punt for atleast the first 2 weeks of December, will nail it. The exception, our northern mtn counties will get the ground covered mid week with the clipper.
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Looking at the trough placement on the CFS, it appears just more of the same pattern to me. The trough continually sets up from NW to SE in the east, centered over Quebec to just about 800 miles off the SE coast of NC. Not good for anyone west of Raleigh.
 
NCSNOW said:
Outside of the mid week clipper, its gonna be a spring feel December, espeacilly next weekend. The CFS lines up well with Grits forecast, has it snowing in Florida as New year opens up and we head back to work lol. Everyone who forecasted a punt for atleast the first 2 weeks of December, will nail it. The exception, our northern mtn counties will get the ground covered mid week with the clipper.
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Hopefully the last 2 weeks of Dec. will be like 2015. It would be warm and our drought would be gone.
 
SD said:
Lord you hate to be in agreement with Joe B but that extreme cold idea is gaining some steam imo as well. I think it would be right around the new year into the first week of Jan if it happens
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I would agree if we get either a SSW that focuses cold here or big ridge over Alaska, which extreme cold is very unusual in a stronger niño imo
 
Itryatgolf said:
I would agree if we get either a SSW that focuses cold here or big ridge over Alaska, which extreme cold is very unusual in a stronger niño imo
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Yeah I'm not a big believer in extreme cold in a nino so that's part of the reason I'm not on the horse of big time cold but I do see how the ridge could get poleward here and dump some cold
 
SD said:
Yeah I'm not a big believer in extreme cold in a nino so that's part of the reason I'm not on the horse of big time cold but I do see how the ridge could get poleward here and dump some cold
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I know it's been mentioned quite a bit, but it will be until at least end of December before things change and that depends on progression of the mjo and we need a pacific reset somehow some way. December's really are notorious as being warm in niños. Alot of opinions at American Weather on how things evolve.
 
Itryatgolf said:
I know it's been mentioned quite a bit, but it will be until at least end of December before things change and that depends on progression of the mjo and we need a pacific reset somehow some way. December's really are notorious as being warm in niños. Alot of opinions at American Weather on how things evolve.
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I'm not so sure the SE averages much if at all above normal for December when all is said and done. We'll go into the last third of the month slightly above after transient cool and warm periods and depending on how fast and intense the end-of-month cooldown begins will tell the tale.
 
Wild Weather Monger said:
I'm not so sure the SE averages much if at all above normal for December when all is said and done. We'll go into the last third of the month slightly above after transient cool and warm periods and depending on how fast and intense the end-of-month cooldown begins will tell the tale.
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It would take a monumental cold period to negate this week for the total of December. Through four days KATL is +10.
 
Oh the optimism now. I thought winter was going to be a dumpster fire, straight heat and no possibility of winter weather because December has been normal!
 
griteater said:
Yall remember when we talked about that big high in Siberia? Cold high pressure diving into SE Asia is usually a good launching point for processes that lead to cold east of the Rockies (Today's Euro Weeklies here)

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I think we would want to see it within 10-15 days out to feel more comfortable with it happening or moving up in time. I am hoping your correct.
 
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