One thing that I do think is going in our favor in the Carolinas for this winter is that we seem to have cycled back into a period where long stretches of high latitude blocking set up during the winter. That does correlate with higher winter weather opportunities in the southeast. Also looking past El Niños, even moderate to strong ones that have longer stretches of mild weather, they do still typically produce 1-2 significant events outside the mountain in the Carolina, and those storms tend to set up with good blocking…the 1997-98 Super Niño is a good example.