W
WSW
Guest
Ok, so if i move back home i can expect 6+ feet of snow this Winter...hmmmm
-
Hello, please take a minute to check out our awesome content, contributed by the wonderful members of our community. We hope you'll add your own thoughts and opinions by making a free account!
Wintry Winter Discussion 2023/24
- Thread starter Rain Cold
- Start date
Ok, so if i move back home i can expect 6+ feet of snow this Winter...hmmmm
Itryatgolf
Member
This guy is very optimistic to say the least?
LukeBarrette
im north of 90% of people on here so yeah
Meteorology Student
Member
2024 Supporter
2017-2023 Supporter
72+ over my house yeah right
He's got the 48-60 and 60-72 color key backwards?
NoSnowATL
Member
Drugs kill. These YouTube guys are crazy.
I mean this isn’t out of the realm of possibility this year. Would you feel better if they were calling for a below average winter lol. I enjoy the bold (and maybe too extreme) predictions.
NoSnowATL
Member
Below avg calls would be nice and closer to real life.
Ive found a wooly worm with very little black and one that was almost completely black. Maybe the “battleground” guys have it right?
Most here would because of recent results. I love coming here and reading how bad its going to be every year. Hell, we could have a perfect set up and there would be people shouting cold rain. That said it's way to early and the youtubers putting out "their forecast" are going off of current lr models and have no clue. Im guessing somewhere between 0 - 10+/- inches for my location because it all has to play out. SMDH!
Not sure if this video has been posted, but this guy seems reasonable.
Watched it last night and seems reasonable based off of the criteria. My issue is no one has a clue what will happen in the end! We could have a record year or bust! Hats off to anyone trying to predict a long range forecast when the normal variables are out the window!
W
WSW
Guest
Looks like an average Winter for the most part. 30-40 inches NW Va. Beats the hell out of the last few. All we need is some cold air and a nice Miller A and everbody beats average. Got a contract on the MB condo. Need to move back North a couple states at least...lol
Does nw Virginia really average 30-40? I find that hard to believe unless you're in the highest peaks. Those are New England averages and DC seems to be half of that?
W
WSW
Guest
Yeah, they do. NW of Winchester in Frederick County especially above 1500'. There are neighborhoods with homes above 2100' actually. At least 30 i would say especially since Winchester's avg is about 25 and they are only at 750' or so.
I'd love to live along that 81 corridor from Harrisonburg up to Winchester. Used to drive that area a lot. 25 inches around Winchester would be perfect. Not enough to get annoying but more than enough to make a snow lover happy.
W
WSW
Guest
Yeah, i really miss it tbh. Pretty obvious probably...lol.. MB is nice, but man, the hills and valleys and back roads and beautiful fall weather are hard to beat imo. Upstate South Carolina is beautiful as well.
Oh definitely it is. Especially along and north of 85 where you have the mtns in the background. It just doesn't snow enough here lol. I wish we could just get the big double digit years that were so common until the 90s. Now we can't sniff a double digit season, much less a double digit storm. Lol
W
WSW
Guest
Yeah i hear you. I lived in Boiling Springs in 2015. I remember maybe exit 10 or so off 26 you could see the mountains clearly. I would live there if they got more snow every year.
Oh yeah. You can see them good all along hwy 9 through Boiling Springs. Beautiful area, just painful for snowlovers. It's amazing how age changes you. When I was a kid my family had a beach house in Garden City Beach. I wanted to move there so bad! Now I haven't been to the Myrtle Beach area in 15+ years. Just not my thing anymore. Driving a truck over the country I wanted to live in the plains or either the mountain west. I guess because it was so much different than what I was used to. I guess you just get bored with certain areas lol
tractor girl
Member
I lived part time just between New Prospect and Boiling Springs for a couple years as a teenager (81-83ish). If my memory is right we had pretty decent snows each winter.
W
WSW
Guest
Haha. True that. Not sure where i want to go after i close on current place. I was thinking about going out West.
Yep the 80s were fantastic! Been downhill since lol
J1C1111
Member
Yep. All down here from there. If it wasn't for the blizzard of 93 and January of 96 in my area that saved us and the big ice storm of Feb 94 just north of you. The 90s would of been just as bad as the snow drought or any frozen precipitation drought we are in now. Looking forward to seeing something frozen fall this Winter hopefully. It's been tough sledding around these parts lately.
Yeah it's beautiful. The micro climates are insane and it's heavily dependent on elevation. Flagstaff is an example of one of those extreme micro climates. Nothing but desert as far as one can see, but climb that mountain and it's pretty and green and averages probably 100 inches of snow per year. I'd be happy to give suggestions if you decide to move out there. I've seen and driven through it all and a weather enthusiast would have to pick the right location as the weather can be rather boring in a lot of places. I remember a guy on these boards moved to Montana from Alabama and it clearly wasn't what he thought. Mostly cold and extremely dry in winter.
Yep it's been rough. I would like to think the odds are in our favor this year to see decent snowfall. But I've all but given up on a double digit season. It's got to actually do it before I believe it can happen now. Maybe up your way you can still pull one out here and there. The cutoff is insane in this part. Hasn't happened here in 30 years but you've probably had a few in that time period. But go on up 50 more miles to your north around Marion and they probably hit double digits almost every year.
JHS
Member
Those were very snowy winters in upstate SC. Especially 1982. March 1983 had a big storm too.
J1C1111
Member
Yeah no doubt about the cutoff. I've see some crazy north and south with the elevation with the snowfall totals. Your exactly right. Just north of me in the county right up 221 the snowfall totals double as you go north into northern Rutherford and into McDowell and they decrease double as you go 11 miles south down to Chesnee down 221 into SC for every mile south your going you keep losing that elevation and the totals drop it seems like every mile south you go. I have had some double digit snowfall winters in the last 30 years but they are getting very far and few in between in the last 15 or so years. This little area of Rutherford county I live in 9/10 times gets the upstate weather like you get more often than not but every so rarely we will get some of the mountain weather if the storm tracks just right here. Here are the years I remember double digit snowfalls in my backyard in the last 30 years and I'm 11 miles north of the SC border right off 221. A lot of those double digit totals came in just one storm.
92-93
95-96
99-00
02-03
03-04
09-10
10-11
18-19
Wouldn’t mind this showing up at peak climo. Definitely not the coldest look though, and far more favorable for the mid Atlantic during peak climo. But if this showed up in mid January, I would be mildly optimistic 
For example, the GFS gives a very good example of how that look could produce, I’d imagine if this was 3 months later, that look would be a pants nuker
In January that look could produce a big dog for a lot of the southeast. Good confluence in the northeast, strong blocking north of there and good bit of energy in the STJ
LukeBarrette
im north of 90% of people on here so yeah
Meteorology Student
Member
2024 Supporter
2017-2023 Supporter
WXinCanton
Member
WINTER FORECAST: El Niño pattern could bring coldest, snowiest winter in a decade
Meteorologist Ella Dorsey explains how the strong El Nino is likely to bring us a cold and wet winter this year
www.atlantanewsfirst.com
NoSnowATL
Member
Boy that would be fun.WINTER FORECAST: El Niño pattern could bring coldest, snowiest winter in a decade
Meteorologist Ella Dorsey explains how the strong El Nino is likely to bring us a cold and wet winter this year
Always love the hard left turn the cold zone makes just before it enters the Southeast.
NoSnowATL
Member
App runners all winter. Cool.
Itryatgolf
Member
I would take that every winter!!
No, no. We're going to hope for Miller B storms / CAD with heavy mixing east of the high snow areas. I'll take sleetfest anytime..
J1C1111
Member
I would love a good sleet storm or anything frozen this winter for that matter. I miss a good sleet storm.