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Wintry Winter Discussion 2023/24

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I don’t normally trust farmers almanac but figured I’d post this
Pretty sharp cut off between mild and wet and cold and snowy. It's like a La Nina and the Bermuda high is not letting the cold front sweep south. Makes no sense.
 
The graph labels on all these Almanac graphs are stupid. At least the OFA isn't as horrible this year.
Yep, the Old Farmer's Almanac is supposed to use actual meteorology/climatology to help create their forecast. To put a map out like this is embarrassing.
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There will always be a battle ground outside of elevation. Even if it's only 50 miles wide. If I was creating this map, I would at least add a battle zone just to the north and west of the "Mild Wet' and "Cold Snowy"; if I was working for them. Terrible map....
 
Yep, the Old Farmer's Almanac is supposed to use actual meteorology/climatology to help create their forecast. To put a map out like this is embarrassing.
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There will always be a battle ground outside of elevation. Even if it's only 50 miles wide. If I was creating this map, I would at least add a battle zone just to the north and west of the "Mild Wet' and "Cold Snowy"; if I was working for them. Terrible map....
I agree with you, but I would honestly never use the term battle zone. I don't know who came up with that several years ago, but it sounds goofy. I would refer to it as mix or something.
 
I agree with you, but I would honestly never use the term battle zone. I don't know who came up with that several years ago, but it sounds goofy. I would refer to it as mix or something.
Whenever I hear the term battle zone I think of severe storms not winter weather.
 
I agree with you, but I would honestly never use the term battle zone. I don't know who came up with that several years ago, but it sounds goofy. I would refer to it as mix or something.
Maybe transition zone. There very well could be a lot of sharp cut offs with precip types and temps. But the question is where. Their particular map would indicate a lot (if not every) storm cuts up through central SC and NC.

But what am I doing? I'm focusing on another winter forecast, when I promised myself I wouldn't do that.

I should only worry about the Halloween storm.... ?
 
I agree with you, but I would honestly never use the term battle zone. I don't know who came up with that several years ago, but it sounds goofy. I would refer to it as mix or something.
I would refer to it as “ it’s gonna rain 95% of the time, a few sleet pellets if you’re lucky” zone
 
I would refer to it as “ it’s gonna rain 95% of the time, a few sleet pellets if you’re lucky” zone
I think of it as the "tease you by getting your hopes up" zone. You see the mtns get it and the local mets make you think you have a chance but most of the time the only thing that gets crushed is your hope.
 
David Schlotthauer dropping the schlotthammer for the eastern US, going for 2-10' of snow for portions of the NE, while Mack bakes in the Midwest.


Does nor’easters mean cold rain while big snow is where the snow is? I think you found the winner map rain cold it has the cut off line
 
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Has anyone seen any Wooly Worms yet? I've seen one and he was almost all black from head to tail! That is supposed to mean that we are in store for a cold stormy winter. I hope I wasn't seeing things or misidentified the caterpillar I saw.
 
Has anyone seen any Wooly Worms yet? I've seen one and he was almost all black from head to tail! That is supposed to mean that we are in store for a cold stormy winter. I hope I wasn't seeing things or misidentified the caterpillar I saw.
Wooly worms now have 54 genders. Don’t be so rude.
 
We do not under any circumstances need below normal temperatures until January.
I'll be fine wearing shorts until Christmas Day if it means we get a cold/snowy winter after that. :)
 
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