• Hello, please take a minute to check out our awesome content, contributed by the wonderful members of our community. We hope you'll add your own thoughts and opinions by making a free account!

Wintry Winter 2018-19 Discussion

Just though y'all guys would have a good laugh over the map I posted, but all seriousness that may be little extreme lol, but with a possible El Nino modiki it could get pretty exciting this Fall/Winter.
 
ForsythSnow said:
Lol yep. Miami will have record snowfall as will the entire state of Florida :p
Click to expand...
Miami has had snow in the past. I remember the winter of 1977, they had flurries in downtown Miami with a temp of 35 degrees. So, record snow for them is anything above a dusting.
 
1300m said:
Me too. This is our ENSO wheelhouse. If we can just get the southern stream to activate, it will hopefully be suppressed and that is half the battle in getting an active winter with many opportunities to cash in instead of just a handful. I'm hoping to at least get the opportunity to track one phasing big dog this winter.
Click to expand...
I just hope we can get something big for AL, TN, GA, and SC too! A good overrunning event would be nice at least once. Not sure if only NC would cash in on this pattern or others as well.
 
1300m said:
The hope would be a few weak southern sliders that many would do well with, and then potentially an opportunity or two for a phased bomb if we can get a western ridge and a little NAO help ;). If we're dreamin', might as well dream big!
Click to expand...

The good news is that both weak and moderate Niños feature a D/J/F seasonal wide -NAO on average, with the moderate Nino having the more classic -NAO look especially for Jan and Feb. But given it’s likely of the modoki type, it too has a nice -NAO signal for DJF (actually stronger/better than a weak canonical Nino)


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
 
The Old Farmer's Almanac winter forecast looks very 2011-12ish, that doesn't make since with El Nino. I put -0 stock into that forecast.
 
cd2play said:
The Old Farmer's Almanac winter forecast looks very 2011-12ish, that doesn't make since with El Nino. I put -0 stock into that forecast.
Click to expand...
Only way is if we have an El Nono, a total flop. If I remember, wasn't that a year we had an El-Nino fail? That also was the worst winter I remember because I didn't see a single flake and there wasn't even an ice event. Nothing frozen fell.
 
ForsythSnow said:
Only way is if we have an El Nono, a total flop. If I remember, wasn't that a year we had an El-Nino fail? That also was the worst winter I remember because I didn't see a single flake and there wasn't even an ice event. Nothing frozen fell.
Click to expand...
I remember 1991-92 being mild most of the winter. Was it mostly a zonal flow that winter?
 
Nice post @Kylo, I really like the prospect of a typical Nino winter especially if it stays weak. Give me an active southern stream and cold air in place, that's about all we can ask for. If we can get some blocking like a solid +PNA and -AO/NAO combo that also would be great.
 
SoutheastRidge said:
That was a heck of a winter. Lots of snow in Georgia ! Then the next winter we had the blizzard.
Click to expand...
because im the biggest nerd when it comes to historic snowstorms.. well eric is probably more of a nerd since he has a whole database full of his maps lol Capture.JPG
to find monthly report search storm data publications and navigate to the year/month.
 
it's been since Feb 2015 my backyard has seen a 6+ inch storm... we're due. lol
 
been since March 2015 since I've seen more than a dusting here(only have seen more since in NYC in February)

We're due :p
 
Spent most of my childhood in Texas, from age 7 to 19.. with a one year interval in San Fran Bay Area.. Saw snow once in Houston, and maybe 3 times in Austin. And only because the middle 80s had some historic Texas winters. I was always jealous of Dallas, because they got 'more' snow.. lol
 
Storm5 said:
You just need to pick a new city . Just don’t go to Macon Georgia or anywhere within 150 miles of Brick . #snowshields
Click to expand...

If you want to talk about snow shields just take a look at where it snowed in relation to mby last year.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
 
Well regarding superstorm of 1993 I requested some data from noaa interest in wind speed/peak gusts... they had a peak gust of 60.8 which is awesome lol. KATL btw lol
 
Last edited:
EastAtlwx said:
because im the biggest nerd when it comes to historic snowstorms.. well eric is probably more of a nerd since he has a whole database full of his maps lol View attachment 5689
to find monthly report search storm data publications and navigate to the year/month.
Click to expand...
that Jan 1992 storm is one of my all time favorites.... It begin late in the morning or early afternoon if I remember. I went to Shoneys that morning to eat breakfast and got back home and it started snowing soon after. Huge flakes. We had at least 6".
 
SoutheastRidge said:
A lot of areas in GA had about 5 seasons worth of snowfall last winter so if this winter ends up being a dud, you really can't complain.
Click to expand...
It couldn't get any worse than 2011-12 I'm sure. If I see a small storm and the rest of the winter is a dud I'll say it would be fine. On the other hand, if it's even better than last, I would have to wonder how many winters we are paying for over the two years.
 
SoutheastRidge said:
A lot of areas in GA had about 5 seasons worth of snowfall last winter so if this winter ends up being a dud, you really can't complain.
Click to expand...
Lol I’m sorry but areas east of I-85 haven’t seen a significant winter storm since 2014.. exception in the suprise ice storm in Athens ga back in 2015 but I wasn’t there for that. So, yeah I’ll complain not only have I gotten a sig. Storm but I’ve been tortured by snow gradients where areas 35NM NW of me got 10”. But Georgia as whole you really can’t...
 
whamby said:
Spent most of my childhood in Texas, from age 7 to 19.. with a one year interval in San Fran Bay Area.. Saw snow once in Houston, and maybe 3 times in Austin. And only because the middle 80s had some historic Texas winters. I was always jealous of Dallas, because they got 'more' snow.. lol
Click to expand...

Lol its funny Dallas is on a near record snowless streak right now officially

But last winter it snowed in Austin and Corpus Christi and parts of Houston while we were high and dry which was really awful to watch :confused:
 
Brent said:
Lol its funny Dallas is on a near record snowless streak right now officially

But last winter it snowed in Austin and Corpus Christi and parts of Houston while we were high and dry which was really awful to watch :confused:
Click to expand...
Man, you and I score this year ... (or not) ... in any event, it's worth selling a ticket for, just to watch the show ... btw ... not charging much on admission for the blizzard of '18 in Gainesville ... :confused:
 
So this is my first post here, from south Louisiana. We usually don't get snow but every once in a while here in Baton Rouge. Last winter had a rare 2 snow events (that accumulated too!) plus lots of cold throughout January '18 ith the two major arctic events. Last time we picked up measurable snow down here was January of '14. I really hope the scales can tip and we get snow in two consecutive winters down here. I'm pretty optimistic since the folks around here who've seen more winters tell me that the last 20 years have seen more snow events than they can remember. But even that is less than 10. Hopefully if we can get plenty of blocking with an active southern jet there will be plenty of opportunities for us Gulf coasters to cash in!
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Back
Top