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Wintry Winter 2018-19 Discussion
- Thread starter Snowfan
- Start date
Booooooom! Drops mic....
ForsythSnow
Moderator
Kiss of death. Now I expect to see not a single accumulating flake.
Follow up: Courtesy of NGa weather!!! Boooooooooooooooooooom! Pics up mic, drops again!
Pants busted!
I havnt seen something that beautiful, since I saw a sign for Chic Fil A, all you can eat nugget night!!!:weenie::weenie::weenie:
ForsythSnow
Moderator
Given their track record I'm calling that map the final nail in the coffin. Looks like what they should have issued last year for snowfall and seeing N GA in the bullseye of cold kills it. Probably going to be warmer than average and few flakes.
I would like to see it happen that way though and maybe since JB's backyard isn't in the bullseye there is an actual chance.
ForsythSnow
Moderator
WeatherBell's prediction last year vs reality
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Here's the recorded DJF anomalies. I'll say they were a little too cool biased but the zones were close.
As far as snowfall, we all know how that ended up from the multiple storms.
All we really can do is wait and see how the forecast holds into December, which is still 4 months away.
Here's the recorded DJF anomalies. I'll say they were a little too cool biased but the zones were close.
As far as snowfall, we all know how that ended up from the multiple storms.
All we really can do is wait and see how the forecast holds into December, which is still 4 months away.
whatalife
Moderator
This man is riding the seasonal models like a mad man.Given their track record I'm calling that map the final nail in the coffin. Looks like what they should have issued last year for snowfall and seeing N GA in the bullseye of cold kills it. Probably going to be warmer than average and few flakes.
I would like to see it happen that way though and maybe since JB's backyard isn't in the bullseye there is an actual chance.
ForsythSnow
Moderator
Lol, who really knows at this point. Its weatherbell and the seasonals so it's something other than nothing. I'm hoping for the best but expecting the worst as always when it comes to winter but it's just too early right now to say anything is definite.This man is riding the seasonal models like a mad man.
Dude, forget about snow....where was that?!?!I havnt seen something that beautiful, since I saw a sign for Chic Fil A, all you can eat nugget night!!!:weenie::weenie::weenie:
Cad Wedge NC
Member
Despite the fact that I would love to see something like that happen, I highly doubt it will play out that way. All depends on a number of factors that we just can't predict this far out. Heck, we don't even know for sure if we will have a Nino this winter. That's the first step.
B
Brick Tamland
Guest
They used to have that at 2 or 3 locations in Greenville! It was 11.99$ on Wednesday’s, they would just keep bringing around 12 packs and fries until you said “ no mas” , it was a thing of beauty! And they had sauces stacked about a foot tall on the counter for the taking!! I went twice and probably easily ate 36-48, stayed off the waffle fries!
TWC said this morning 70% chance of El Niño forming by December!
Also, if any of y’all like Long John Silvers, they have all you can eat fish and chicken around here on Sunday’s, for 7.99$ !!!!
Also, if any of y’all like Long John Silvers, they have all you can eat fish and chicken around here on Sunday’s, for 7.99$ !!!!
This Wxbell DJF forecast is essentially ~2009-10 all over again, which at the time was the coldest winter by a good margin since 1977-8.
The -5 shown on the map for KATL would make it a top 10 cold winter in terms of anomalies vs normal of the time. I wonder what they're using for normals....1981-2010? That's actually colder than the non-Pioneer seasonal maps are showing as they are closer to -2 to -4 range.
After getting near 1,000% of my normal wintry precip in 2017-8 (SN/IP/ZR)..well from the one early January generational historic storm, this 167% would be a letdown lol.
KATL is ~4" SN/IP at 200%, which is about what they're calling for.
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pcbjr
Member
... and so long as you are calculating, Gainesville (FL, that is ...)? ... Truly LOL ...
Severe stormfail warning in affek!
pcbjr
Member
RC,
That's plagiarising from a newspaper that was thrown in the driveway sometime last winter ...
Oh man, that’s amazing. I wish they’d do that here!They used to have that at 2 or 3 locations in Greenville! It was 11.99$ on Wednesday’s, they would just keep bringing around 12 packs and fries until you said “ no mas” , it was a thing of beauty! And they had sauces stacked about a foot tall on the counter for the taking!! I went twice and probably easily ate 36-48, stayed off the waffle fries!
I really hate basing winters on a three month average. Personally 2013-2014 and 2010-2011 were both colder than 2009-2010. That is my issue with winter predictions such as WxBell. A winter of above average temps can vastly outperform a winter of below average temps.