Wintry Winter 2018-19 Discussion

[SimeonNC]

Personally, I'd like a seasonable December and hopefully a seasonable February. December down here is similar to September in the sense that it's more of a transitional month and expecting a snowy December outside the mountains is unrealistic. And recently it seems like we've lost February as a winter month so I hope that changes this year.

As for types of storms, I'd like a big event with warning level amounts of all three p-types, and multiple flizzard/light accumulation events that don't warrant any advisories at all.

 

[Rain Cold]

Your dream is much like a Weak Nino composite and we’re headed that way.


Hopefully it’s a weak El Niño

And not a Moderate

Feb will be rocking AND you’d get your cold December.

DJF

March

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Very much like the thought of all that. Thanks for posting!

 

[whatalife]

So did the CanSIPS ever run? I don’t see where it updated for it’s Sept run...


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[Jon]

So did the CanSIPS ever run? I don’t see where it updated for it’s Sept run...


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It ran, just might not be updating on some sites
http://climate-scenarios.canada.ca/?page=cansips-global



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[whatalife]

It ran, just might not be updating on some sites
http://climate-scenarios.canada.ca/?page=cansips-global



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Thanks!


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[olhausen]

It’s September 3rd and it’s still hot. Oh no winter cancel! I’m Joking of course but I seem to remember last November that some people were already screaming winter cancel. It will probably happen again as soon as we have a few warm days this November. It’s one of the many things that makes fall and winter the best times of the year though. I said this last season and it held true in that There’s no reason to start worrying about a snowless winter until mid to late January.

 

[Tarheel1]

Heck, if it was 75 on Christmas but had a 6 inch snowstorm in January, I would still call it a winter.

Sounds like Christmas of Jan 87, which lead to Jan 8 of 1988! I’ll take it too!

 

[cd2play]

Meanwhile, in Tallahassee......

 

[MichaelJ]

New Euro winter outlook is promising according to Bastardi but maps not available for viewing yet

 

[Webberweather53]

New Euro winter outlook is promising according to Bastardi but maps not available for viewing yet

Yep, the Euro has doubled down. This month's Euro seasonal is just as weenie.

 

[Snowfan]

Ill take that European run for a thousand dollars. :weenie:

 

[Jon]

Yep, the Euro has doubled down. This month's Euro seasonal is just as weenie.

View attachment 5847

Dang, where’s that from?


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[Rain Cold]

We should DEFINITELY get some snow with -20 - -40 degree temps! Bring it!

 

[Webberweather53]

Dang, where’s that from?


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Ed Vallee posted this on twitter, it's not available to normal subscribers on weathermodels unfortunately.

 

[Brick Tamland]

Yep, the Euro has doubled down. This month's Euro seasonal is just as weenie.

View attachment 5847

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

Yep, the Euro has doubled down. This month's Euro seasonal is just as weenie.

View attachment 5847

We don’t toss

 

[MichaelJ]

Move that 100 miles west and you have the Pioneer model strangely enough

 

[MichaelJ]

Also, a lot of signs pointing to a copious amount of blocking as well with a pretty continuous -NAO. Whether that actually happens, based on what has occurred the past 10-15 years, is open for debate

 

[GaWx]

Yep, the Euro has doubled down. This month's Euro seasonal is just as weenie.

View attachment 5847

Here is last month's to compare it to: very similar as suggested by Webb
http://southernwx.com/community/threads/winter-2018-19-discussion.410/page-2#post-103582

 

[deltadog03]

Yep, the Euro has doubled down. This month's Euro seasonal is just as weenie.

View attachment 5847

why not?