Tropical TS Fred

[Metwannabe]

 

[SD]

Fred is almost dead on the GFS, tries to get something weak going in GOM and then the moisture never really makes it north. Still looks moderately wet next week (especially higher terrain) but less than previous run and from the overall pattern not Fred

Canadian is similar to the icon... model fight!!!!

 

[Snowfan]

Levi has made a new video.

 

[deltadog03]

12z HWRF running and it takes through big island, looses it...then WNW and strengthens is. HR 66 (latest hr avail) 6z sat moving WNW toward Miami.

 

[deltadog03]

 

[deltadog03]

Emerging over water now around 1000mb

 

[GaWx]

12Z Euro: flooding for @pcbjr has to be considered a real possibility as his area has been slammed this entire summer:

 

[pcbjr]

12Z Euro: flooding for @pcbjr has to be considered a real possibility as his area has been slammed this entire summer:

View attachment 87967

Thanks Larry - I was totally slammed last night ...

 

[SD]

Wow Euro has Fred just sitting and dying over NC

 

[Metwannabe]

Wow Euro has Fred just sitting and dying over NCView attachment 87968

Yeah we literally posted that at the exact same time lol. Deleted my post but dang that would be problematic, tropical remnants for days would probably yield even more than those totals

edit: although there are some 18" bullseyes in there

 

[Rain Cold]

Wow Euro has Fred just sitting and dying over NCView attachment 87968

That would kill a lot of lawn fungus. Terrible model, though.

 

[Metwannabe]

That would kill a lot of lawn fungus. Terrible model, though.

Yeah I get 2.7 while you get almost 8", never! Lol

 

[deltadog03]

ya euro did come a little east this run....runs up the spine of FL.....

 

[Metwannabe]

Stupid thing has a nice blowup of convection right over the LLC as it was finally making LF on southern shore of DR. And probably my eyes playing tricks on me but the last frame or two of vis almost looks like it's feeling a tug north like Levi mentioned in his video, hmmm

 

[pcbjr]

Too big to copy and posts the .gifs, so time sensitive ...

Satellite Views | Hurricane and Tropical Weather Information

Additional Hurricane and tropical weather satellite views

myfloridahurricane.info

 

[deltadog03]

Stupid thing has a nice blowup of convection right over the LLC as it was finally making LF on southern shore of DR. And probably my eyes playing tricks on me but the last frame or two of vis almost looks like it's feeling a tug north like Levi mentioned in his video, hmmm

I see what you are seeing...I still think, its kind of moving more westerly on the southern coast.

 

[SD]

Lol euro merges Fred and 95L lol

 

[SD]

That would kill a lot of lawn fungus. Terrible model, though.

put down your systemic fungicide now and you will be good to go

 

[deltadog03]

I feel like we might be in for some surprises with Fred

 

[SD]

Yeah we literally posted that at the exact same time lol. Deleted my post but dang that would be problematic, tropical remnants for days would probably yield even more than those totals

edit: although there are some 18" bullseyes in there

There was a 21.35 in Orange County. Crazy. Like you said the other day we might be tired of rain by the end of August but it's hard to trap a system at our latitude like that so I'm skeptical. I think the better idea is that is continues to our north and we are left with a residual surface trough and daily storms.