Tropical TS Fred

[JHS]

Hopefully it comes straight up the spine of the mountains from GA and northeast. That's the only way we will get good rain here. Storms today missed us.

 

[pcbjr]

 

[deltadog03]

Ya if anything is at the sfc it's near that circle.

 

[pcbjr]

 

[Snowfan]

New advisory has it now at 40 mph.

 

[Henry2326]

18z HWRF trend comparison to 12z. Weaker and further south.

 

[Stormsfury]

still can't find a well defined LLC. It's extremely close.. the wave axis is already tilting more NNW/SSE

 

[Henry2326]

18z HWRF second landfall.......slower and weaker 12z but same general area.

 

[Henry2326]

18z Euro.....looks similar to 18z HWRF

 

[BHS1975]

18z Euro.....looks similar to 18z HWRF

The one behind it has a dry air shield.


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[Brent]

Breaking news we have a center

URNT12 KNHC 110125 CCA
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE AL062021
A. 11/00:40:40Z
B. 17.34 deg N 066.30 deg W
C. 850 mb 1504 m
D. 1009 mb
E. 050 deg 6 kt
F. NA
G. NA
H. 35 kt
I. 006 deg 31 nm 00:31:00Z
J. 115 deg 40 kt
K. 038 deg 66 nm 00:20:00Z
L. 25 kt
M. 274 deg 8 nm 00:43:00Z
N. 043 deg 31 kt
O. 291 deg 77 nm 01:01:00Z
P. 17 C / 1532 m
Q. 19 C / 1526 m
R. 7 C / NA
S. 134 / 8
T. 0.02 / 6.5 nm
U. AF302 0206A SURVEY OB 11 CCA
MAX FL WIND 43 KT 038 / 71 NM 00:19:00Z
MAX FL TEMP 19 C 352 / 8 NM FROM FL CNTR
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[Brent]

We have Fred

TROPICAL STORM FRED FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6

65 mph at the end of the forecast approaching the Panhandle

 

[Brent]

 

[Snowfan]

GFS is a bit west of 18z @96 hours.

 

[Tarheel1]

GFS is a bit west of 18z @96 hours.

It’s gonna end up going into LA and MS

 

[Snowfan]

I thought it was but it has it like this:

It’s gonna end up going into LA and MS

 

[Brent]

Almost looks like an eyewall trying to form but Hispaniola awaits tomorrow

 

[GaWx]

0Z Euro says for @pcbjr to look out for heavy rains he doesn't need or want:

 

[NCSNOW]

0Z Euro says for @pcbjr to look out for heavy rains he doesn't need or want:

View attachment 87928

You forgot Shettley. Check out the bullseye in the upstate

 

[Arcc]

Judging by how poorly it looks on IR means it will be hard to track before long. I doubt the current llc survives Hispaniola.