Tropical TS Fred

[Chazwin]

Well I just had a chance to look at the EURO and all I can say is I might need to invest in a pontoon

 

[deltadog03]

Does look about right to yall?

 

[SD]

Does look about right to yall?
View attachment 87975

Seems to be there but the land/terrain interaction seems like it's making the visible images wonky

 

[accu35]

I'm riding this model run.

 

[BHS1975]

There was a 21.35 in Orange County. Crazy. Like you said the other day we might be tired of rain by the end of August but it's hard to trap a system at our latitude like that so I'm skeptical. I think the better idea is that is continues to our north and we are left with a residual surface trough and daily storms.

With that crazy ridging in the SE Canada that's been in the ens for a while it would be trapped.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

 

[Snowfan]

Fred is now a TD per latest advisory.

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Fred Intermediate Advisory Number 9A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL062021
800 PM EDT Wed Aug 11 2021

...FRED WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION OVER CENTRAL HISPANIOLA...
...HEAVY RAINS CONTINUE OVER HAITI AND THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...


SUMMARY OF 800 PM EDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.2N 71.6W
ABOUT 55 MI...85 KM SE OF CAP HAITIEN HAITI
ABOUT 170 MI...275 KM SE OF GREAT INAGUA ISLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB...29.80 INCHES

 

[accu35]

Way west

 

[accu35]

Fred is now a TD per latest advisory.

Thats expected

 

[deltadog03]

Like I said earlier. Fred is gonna have some tricks.

 

[deltadog03]

I think I see some spin to the clouds in the circle? Can't find anything else under that mass over land SE of that circle. Hard to tell.

 

[Chazwin]

I think I see some spin to the clouds in the circle? Can't find anything else under that mass over land SE of that circle. Hard to tell.

View attachment 88031

Well we’ll see if any convection starts firing in that area. If it does, we definitely see the center relocated to the north… then we’ll have to see what that does to the overall track

 

[Snowfan]

Still a TD

...FRED PRODUCING HEAVY RAINFALL AND POSSIBLE FLOODING ACROSS
PORTIONS OF HAITI AND THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.5N 72.2W
ABOUT 20 MI...35 KM S OF CAP HAITIEN HAITI
ABOUT 130 MI...205 KM SSE OF GREAT INAGUA ISLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB...29.80 INCHES

 

[Brent]

 

[Tarheel1]

Fro asked for more rain?

 

[Blue_Ridge_Escarpment]

Looks like the ICON is coming into line with other models coming up the west side of Florida.

 

[Snowfan]

The GFS has continued it's eastern trend.

 

[GaWx]

Look out @pcbjr , @deltadog03 , @JHS , and @RainlessSnowless & Grumpy among others if this were to verify before heavy moves into NC:

 

[deltadog03]

Look out @pcbjr , @deltadog03 , @JHS , and @RainlessSnowless & Grumpy among others if this were to verify before heavy moves into NC:

View attachment 88040

Ya euro back west a bit. And looks a bit stronger with wind fields.

 

[NCSNOW]

0z Euro

The Crazy Uncle




Euro

 

[Shaggy]

06z didn't do much with Fred