• Hello, please take a minute to check out our awesome content, contributed by the wonderful members of our community. We hope you'll add your own thoughts and opinions by making a free account!

Wintry The Webber/1300m/Kylo/Jon/Whatalife Storm January 12th-14th

.5" ice accrual in parts of Forsyth county on the 12Z Nam. It does, however, have a sharp cut-off with the freezing rain line...with much lesser amounts at GSO. .39 accrual at my location but only .15 at GSO...which can't be more than 10 miles from my location.

Edit...I spoke too soon...before the run was over. Here's the final map (I hope):

zr_acc.us_ma.png
 
Widespread .35" accruals on the 3K NAM. I think this is going to have no trouble verifying the winter storm warning.
 
Latest nam was warmer and with more qpf, I’m just a few miles from 0 ZR and in the .4+ of ZR, tough forecast, still think the map that 1300 posted will be very close
 
From what I could tell, the 06z NAM was the warmest run yet, but the 12z was just a bit colder.if correct, it would be a pretty major ice storm for the triad back to the foothills.
 
Anyone whos on the edges of the freezing precip shouldn't let their guard down. Just because the NAM didn't have you in freezing rain doesn't mean there isn't a chance.
 
AccuWeather says snow for me around lunch.... that would make my week
 
925s are just a hair bit colder than what the nam predicted, still a difference could determine your ptype and how long it lasts, but anyways models seem pretty much on track 99D0DFCC-B852-46DB-A140-42E469F4ECAA.pngFCABEFCA-E33D-49E9-AEC2-93A85EA09A4B.png I accidentally posted this on the January thread lol
 
Dp is actually down which surprised me since we got some light precip, down to 22, there is a light wind coming from the NE, nam forecasted DPs at my area to be around 26-28 at this time, that’s a 4-6 degrees difference, not good
 
So, where we sit temp/dp wise for NEGA/Upstate seems to be somewhat close to the NAM but I don’t hear anyone really thinking the projected ice arrives, is this because of the timing of the precip and it will be warmer later than what the NAM says?

Trying to sort out/learn what an educated interpretation would be of the current situation since it’s kinda quiet here.......
 
DP is down to 18 at GSO last hour. The FV3 continues to be aggressive with the freezing rain potential tonight for the NW Piedmont. It's also once again closer to reality with current DPs than other guidance.

zr_acc.us_ma.png
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Back
Top