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Wintry The Webber/1300m/Kylo/Jon/Whatalife Storm January 12th-14th
- Thread starter whatalife
- Start date
Jessy89
Member
2/3 of North Carolina has a winter storm. Outside of there s novelty event for upstate sc Ne ga mostly because of low dew points I’ve felt this way since yesterday. Based on the models I feel the same way now
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Roberts thoughts. Don’t know if they’ve been posted.? From today
Kylo
Member
18z EPS. #north
With the trends today being a more further north amped system.. I think it’s safe to say this storm will affect NC and points north.
accu35
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Your always in a bad spot for winter storms seems like. Chase it
No kidding. Having these dews in place 6-12 hours before precip starts with NNE winds makes me think at least there will be an initial period of wintry weather if not a longer duration sleet/freezing rain event
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Looks like the dominant ptype will be zr 85 and north, really hoping for a continued north shift or decent south shift, ice looks to be bad
That’s how it is in the Midlands of SC it’s been over 4 years since we seen a good snowstorm.
B
Brick Tamland
Guest
I see where the dew points should be lower than they were with the December storm here. So why would we get more ice than snow this time?
Because of the upper level of the atmosphere is warmer this time.
NCSNOW
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Dont be fooled by the clown maps. You see strip of snow not coloring upstate sc,ne ga and east of mtns. Its because major ice potential exist for these areas. The cad, surface cold will be way stronger as we get closer . Globals want catch how strong and deep cad areas will wetbulb. Never do, they arent set up to and we go through this everytime. Telling you theres a high potential alot of folks are gonna get a crippling ice storm. Models uping qpf fits the bill as we get closer. Been the case for past 6 months. Someone is gonna get .5- .75 + freezing rain.
The December storm, people kept saying “ it’ll trend stronger/ colder, the wedge and it never actually did. My area was supposed to be 33-35 on most models, and that’s what verified for me.
Fountainguy97
Member
Same for my neck of the woods in SE Wake. The last 5 days before the storm I was on the line for snow, and actually many times got multiple inches of snow on model runs. Ended up with abt .5 of snow. .2-.3 sleet. Then a nice helping of rain.
So I think the “it’s a CAD it’ll verify colder” argument holds no water.
Atleast not for the areas on the outter edge of the CAD region. Maybe it’s a different story for areas in the center of the CAD region.
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A wedge doesn’t automatically trend stronger just because people say so. Certain conditions have to exist.
I could see that too. Euro def trying.
Kylo
Member
To add to the wedge always stronger talk, I would argue that the wedge really didn’t take shape until the event started or a bit later in December. This is forecasted to different. As Shane said, the wedge will be in place for a number of hours well before precipitation comes in. That’s a HUGE difference.
Good grief. The NAM hammers much of Missouri.