packfan98
Moderator
Major mess!
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Wintry The Webber/1300m/Kylo/Jon/Whatalife Storm January 12th-14th
- Thread starter whatalife
- Start date
NoSnowATL
Member
Yea I sat around 33-34 in December, if we can just get 1-2 degrees colder with a stronger CAD we are in business to at least see something.
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Kylo
Member
SLP track very close to UK. Big ice storm in cad regions.
Jessy89
Member
That’s not going to do it for people in sc or ga.
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Fountainguy97
Member
Interesting how EURO has a MUCH stronger HP but much less snow across the region than UK.
packfan98
Moderator
The precip more than doubled this run. Now it's in line with the other modeling. Par for the course this year. It will be a lot of something. Frozen for some. Cold rain for others.
Again if those temps are off by just a degree, yeah a major mess.... also DP's appear to be lower with this system then the Dec. system and for the CAD areas that one seriously over performed.
Btw, a word about DP's I saw the map @deltadog03 posted earlier and @snowlover91 touched on this.... the NAM was showing some crazy low DP's with the Dec storm at this lead time that never verified so just keep that in mind
Little more amped so maybe a little more WAA to contend with?
Suprised to not see much sleet in these runs, watch it pop up at day 2, happens everytime where a ice storm ends up becoming a sleet storm
snowlover91
Member
Yeah for now I would trust the global DP's over the NAM until we get inside 60 hours. The December system the NAM was showing DP's in the teens while the GFS was upper 20s in NC and the upper 20 DP's verified quite well. The good news is even the GFS for this system is showing DP's starting in the teens for most in NC, SC and even northern GA which if it verifies would likely produce a much stronger CAD than currently modeled. This will also have implications for the SLP track and ice effects.
.7 here. Relatively light event for MBY this year. It has been relentless
Kylo
Member
Reminds me of Jan 2010, not as cold at 850 though.
LovingGulfLows
Member
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- Jan 5, 2017
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The December storm was a lot more juiced up. There won't be as much moisture to waste on rain or ice in order to maximize snow totals.
SnowNiner
Member
Boo, Euro. Yeah it's a fine line. Weak and strung out and there's hardly any precip and it's a novelty. Want more precip, get's more wound up, the storms more north. Yeah, congrats north/west of 40 again. That's the place to be in NC for sure.
SnowNiner
Member
Mid-Atlantic is starting to get excited on this one. Good for them.
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
Member
I’m surprised, they’ve felt that rug pulled before. I actually think CAD areas of NC would be where I’d want to be, maybe SW VA. MA is going to be too far north for the heavy stuff.
Kylo
Member
EPS looks good, HP stronger and strung out weak low.
Well looks good for snow and ice if that’s your thing.
Well looks good for snow and ice if that’s your thing.
Kylo
Member
Got to say, the GFS has led the Euro on this. I would trust the Euro from here on out but it was a mess until this run.