NCSNOW
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- Dec 2, 2016
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It always does this. Did it in December storm as well. Model mechanics. Biggest thing is look for lp and hp placement, qpf output
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Wintry The Webber/1300m/Kylo/Jon/Whatalife Storm January 12th-14th
- Thread starter whatalife
- Start date
It always does this. Did it in December storm as well. Model mechanics. Biggest thing is look for lp and hp placement, qpf output
Kylo
Member
Wish the ull was 100 miles further south. Va has to be salivating.
packfan98
Moderator
GEFS also had a pretty significant bump in precip totals over the past few runs. Now many areas are over 1". The triangle is around 1.25". If they stay below freezing, it's a big ticket winter storm.
Kylo
Member
UK further south than GFS.
Jessy89
Member
So are we trending south with the low today?
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Kylo
Member
UK snow
Much improved for central NC. Still not looking good for GSP and northern GA.
packfan98
Moderator
That's a huge improvement! From what I've seen so far, many of the models have the low further north initially before correcting to a more suppressed and OTS look when it arrives in the SE. The HP placement seems to be wobbling a bit on the models. IF it holds in a good position, we will continue to see the surface temps decrease on the models the next couple of days, possibly resulting in a higher impact mix area in the CAD regions.
B
Brick Tamland
Guest
GEFS and UK both improved. Some positive trends today for sure.
ForsythSnow
Moderator
Looks like the FV3 is running late on even starting. Probably going to be a bit or not at all for 12Z.
Avalanche
Member
Mike Maze is on board now with concerns for wintry weather this weekend over the NW mountains and foothills of NC.
NorthGaWinter4
Member
Am I wrong for not punting yet
Snowed In
Member
I believe this is only for far, far NE GA at best if you are looking for wintry precip in GA.
ForsythSnow
Moderator
I wouldn't punt just yet in terms of ice. Looks better than the December system did, and we barely missed it that time. For snow I'd throw that out right now. Our time can be later this month or in a week or two.
Snowed In
Member
I would punt for my area only since I am on the Southside of ATL
SnowNiner
Member
Out to 96 on the euro the system looks a bit south of 0z and stronger in E texas. I'm not sure why I'm doing pbp. lol.
packfan98
Moderator
Definitely a stronger system at 108. Let's see where it goes.
packfan98
Moderator
Euro is definitely putting out more precip this run and looking more like some of the other 12z models. Looks to be good snows in the mountains, foothills, and NW of the Triad at 120.
Looks a touch colder, factor in it's warm surface temp bias and it has major written all over it....
I'd like to see ip/zr maps from the Euro, looks like an icy mess
Jessy89
Member
What about upstate sc NE ga. On Euro?
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