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Wintry The Webber/1300m/Kylo/Jon/Whatalife Storm January 12th-14th

metwannabe said:
The GFS/FV3 does not necessarily have a cutter, they both show a Miller B evolution with the secondary lp forming off the coast, it occurs further north than the ICON and CMC (although the CMC is borderline Miller A/B hybrid system). But as @Fountainguy97 has been stating that HP placement is crucial to determine track of slp.
Click to expand...

I would argue that in this rare case the track of the low means little. Sure if it amps either from a phase or stronger wave you are finished anywho, but if it stays a weak wave any WAA will be marginal. Y'all in NC need the CAD high to stay strong or a stronger northern stream.
 
Euro day 4. The big low in SE Canada is actually further s/w which should be good but causes heights to rise out ahead of the southern low. This is very GFS like.

Edit: No wonder...NAO is stout.euro.gif
 
Euro either has no low, or the low is way south
 
The low is there, it's just weak and we first see it off the NC coast.

I'm not sure it held serve. Looking at 850s it's at or below 0 at 120 in SC close to central SC and north GA, but at 144 the 850s go back up to northern NC.
 
Kind of strung out mess but still a nice run. Temps are fairly cold for warm biased T2m Euro so ice totals aren't shown.

snowfall_total_accum_10to1_CONUS_hr168.png
 
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