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Pattern The Great December Dump

Webberweather53 said:
Milder overnight low temperatures have been really kicking our butt and are the primary of the reason why we're running above normal for the 9th December in a row.

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Daily highs are actually at or below normal thanks in large part to the plethora of CAD events we've seen this month.


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I believe I see a slither of BN night and day up in the north central/northeast section of NC

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metwannabe said:
I believe I see a slither of BN night and day up in the north central/northeast section of NC

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Yes! Against the 1987-2016 climo period your area of NC is below average ever so slightly! However consider that 2011-2016 were all above or well above average Decembers w/ an absolute torch in 2015, while 1981-1986 were not mild overall in comparison, using the more stereotypical 1981-2010 base period it's still above or nearly so. :/
 
18z euro/eps is gonna start coming into range showing our 50/50 low trend if it hasn’t already
 
Jessy89 said:
Your very aggressive with your predictions and forecast. But very informative and I enjoy your stuff


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Thanks! My predictions can be aggressive, but sometimes it hard to keep it at a minimum because I don't want to leave out certain points that are a possibility. Which those possibilities can be on the aggressive side.
 
Webberweather53 said:
Milder overnight low temperatures have been really kicking our butt and are the primary of the reason why we're running above normal for the 9th December in a row.

Daily highs are actually at or below normal thanks in large part to the plethora of CAD events we've seen this month.
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Night lows are super lame this month... not wintry at all. It's making me miss frequent teens/20s of New Hampshire some.
 
The latest mjo charts. Euro and eps want to take it to the phase 5 or 6, which are warm phases. If they are correct.
 

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Golf7575 said:
The latest mjo charts. Euro and eps want to take it to the phase 5 or 6, which are warm phases. If they are correct.
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I might be seeing the wrong one.



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Storm5 said:
Good lord it’s bowling ball after bowling ball on the 18z gfs . Only a matter of time now


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Yeah, like I said before, the precip is not going to be a problem. We have had rain here every weekend the past four weekends. We seem to be stuck in that pattern, too, with plenty of precip coming every week for the foreseeable future. We just need the cold to meet up with it. I think we're headed in the right direction. Just have to be patient.
 
Brick Tamland said:
Yeah, like I said before, the precip is not going to be a problem. We have had rain here every weekend the past four weekends. We seem to be stuck in that pattern, too, with plenty of precip coming every week for the foreseeable future. We just need the cold to meet up with it. I think we're headed in the right direction. Just have to be patient.
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Precip wasn’t a problem last year either, and I was pretty much blanked. We need a good sustained cold and shot after shot here and even then it’s dicey. I love optimism, but after the past few years here in Charlotte my glass is slowly becoming half empty.
 
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