I want to apologize for getting ahead of myself; I need to stop jumping ahead to conclusions. I know that getting ahead of these models is a foolish thing to do, but I like to make predictions from analyzing these models. Still, my prediction for the area of ice is looking like it's going to be right, it wasn't that far off. CAD area's in SC and GA will still need to watch for the possibility of ZR/IP. There are some differences between the Euro and the GFS. There is some timing differences, on the 12z Euro, the low stays well south in the Gulf of Mexico, and the low meanders around and doesn't do much of anything. I'm going with the GFS for the ice cause it has been consistent today showing the ice. Since the time frame is within 5 days, it has a good chance at verifying. I'm also considering using a blend of the Euro for the placement of high pressure. The location of the high pressure is in a much more favorable position for a much greater area of ice for CAD locations. Also on the Euro, it appears that there would be a double barrel high. So, if the Euro had the moisture further inland, I have no doubt that there will be a greater extent of ZR/IP down into SC and northeast GA (and possibly further south.)
EURO
View attachment 27421
GFS
View attachment 27422
I'm still curious as to what will happen with the 2nd wave down in the Gulf of Mexico? Will that be the snow storm? It's too far out to know for sure, I don't want to get ahead of myself. The 500mb pattern is diffrent on every model, so who really knows what's going to happen with that ULL.
EURO (this is not the first wave, this is the 2nd wave)
View attachment 27423
If the CMC is to be correct, I'm liking this look. Will a phase occur?
View attachment 27424
I think we are going to see a lot more interesting developments in the days to come!