GFS keeping moisture in the gulf after the front passed just like the euro did
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Pattern The Great December Dump
- Thread starter Rain Cold
- Start date
Not bad.
light Snow in NC, looks like a overrunning setup, this solution kinda came out nowhere but it was definitely a step towards the euro
Gfs is still so different from the euro tho, the trough still speeds up that SW a lot on the gfs while the euro is slower, and the gfs shows a ULL in the SW at around 180 while the euro shows something different, lol, and this energy is probably bout to do something on the GFS
Oh don’t look now 1049hp dropping down from Canada with precip starting to develop from the gulf looks though it might turn into a cutter
Jessy89
Member
That can’t be a cutter the High is to strong
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As many times as I have seen it I will never rule out the perfect system turning into a cutter on the GFS
ATLwxfan
Member
Beware the SER
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GeorgiaGirl
Member
Hmm H5 is interesting on that one. If you could somehow lower those heights that'd end up providing a winter storm for more people than it did.
Edit: Sharpen the western ridge, move it back west and wala. Later in the run, that ridge just rolls right towards us.
Edit: Sharpen the western ridge, move it back west and wala. Later in the run, that ridge just rolls right towards us.
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
Member
Pretty decent winter storm for NC on GFS
Looking at the modeled IR from the GFS, very cold cloud tops, valid at midnight next Wednesday. I do think the GFS is still having difficulty calculating convection. However, I do think the GFS will correct itself over the coming days. Those are some cold cloud tops, low as -40c or less!
Beware the south east ridge??? This storm is turning into a huge winter storm for NC CAD is building in nicely on Gfs as we speak
Congrats NC and NE SC
Downeastnc
Member
I approve of this run of the GFS that low placement is solid for MBY......just need that changeover to snow to happen 6 hrs sooner....
The funny thing is, this is a completely different piece of energy/setup the GFS shows !!!! This just shows how favorable our upcoming pattern is
Kuchera snowfall map
Just for clarification, this is a totally different setup advertised by the FV3.
Gfs always underestimate the wedge. Remember that.
Snownut
Member
Looks like this run of the GFS took some baby steps to what the EURO showed earlier. If these trends continue, a lot of folks in the western Carolinas and NE GA could be looking vcd at a major winter storm.
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