Pattern The Great December Dump

[WxWatch]

The models are getting there, the timing is off though with the storm system. I'm still going with overrunning, and then the main system kicks out sometime Tuesday evening/night, into Wednesday based from my prediction. But, according to the models, exact timing with the system is unknown.

 

[Ollie Williams]

FWIW, here’s the Ukie

 

[Ethan80963]

GEFS snowfall maps for cities throughout the southeast



if map totals have higher totals than ollies map below it is likely due to frozen precip other than snow

 

[Ollie Williams]

GEFS snowfall maps for cities throughout the southeast
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Map for those interested

 

[Ollie Williams]

GEFS snowfall maps for cities throughout the southeast
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Could you add GSO?

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

Map for those interested
View attachment 27049

This seems to support a likely chance of some type of wintry weather in the south east next week ... lots of agreement on some amount and I’m sure there’s more ice runs too

 

[Ethan80963]

Could you add GSO?

Added

 

[Ollie Williams]

According to Ryan Maue, the CMC has been doing better than the GFS
View attachment 27042View attachment 27041

Here’s the accumulated ice.

 

[Ilovesnow28]

Added

Can you add Tuscaloosa

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

Here’s the accumulated ice.
View attachment 27051

Great googly moogly .. that’s about as devastating as it gets ...

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

We’ve come a long way gentlemen ... the time has come where we hit the calm in the storm ... just as a precursor to a tsunami the water retreats drastically .. the comments in December dump thread grow quiet as we all await the storm that is the 00z king euro and its ensemble members ... bracing for the pages of analysis by 2 am

 

[Ollie Williams]

Preliminarily, It’s looking slightly worse. More of a connection with the northern stream that takes its energy. It’s not north, but it may be flatter and less like a strong circular ULL.
00z. Still much better than the CMC and GFS though.

12z

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

Preliminarily, It’s looking slightly worse. More of a connection with the northern stream that takes its energy. It’s not north, but it may be flatter and less like a strong circular ULL.
00z. Still much better than the CMC and GFS though.
View attachment 27052
12z
View attachment 27053

Looks pretty darn close to me

 

[Arcc]

This may be a big run.

Edit. Maybe not. Northern stream is slower. All about timing.

 

[Arcc]

Not this time. Only chance this storm has is if it hangs back.

 

[SETNwx]

meh, game over:

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

Not this time. Only chance this storm has us if it hangs back.

I only have povitol maps. Preliminary frontal passage looks similar to CMC. Might make an effort and bring something out of the gulf with some overrunning?

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

euro has a 1045 high pressure in Northern Virginia at hour 180 something has to go over top that thing

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

Euro is a ... rain storm ...

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

Minuscule changes. Underestimating the wedge? ???‍