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Wintry Sunday 12/18-Tues 12/20 ZR threat

Most of that is not snow if at all into the deeper South.  850s hot.
 
Storm5 link said:
18z 4k NAM FTW
a1d90daed3bf76cc3f14597e4e6e6bf1.jpg


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wow
 
metwannabe link said:
That's what getting NAM'd looks like ^^^^^ Lol
the nws already dismissed it saying the NAM has a know bias of being to slow to clear precip out by 4 hours!!!!! and thus the above result lol

4 hours!!!

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Storm5 link said:
18z 4k NAM FTW
a1d90daed3bf76cc3f14597e4e6e6bf1.jpg


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I'll take one or two or three of whatever the 4km nam is drinking!
 
850's right before/as the event happens:

nam4km_T850_seus_38.png
 
Starburst link said:
Most of that is not snow if at all into the deeper South.  850s hot.
Oh no doubt , they are not even close . if anything it would be freezing rain

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Storm5 link said:
[quote author=Starburst link=topic=54.msg2362#msg2362 date=1481923394]
Most of that is not snow if at all into the deeper South.  850s hot.
Oh no doubt , they are not even close . if anything it would be freezing rain

Sent from my SM-G900V using Tapatalk
[/quote]
Call me crazy but I've always enjoyed ice events.
 
Storm5 link said:
[quote author=Starburst link=topic=54.msg2362#msg2362 date=1481923394]
Most of that is not snow if at all into the deeper South.  850s hot.
Oh no doubt , they are not even close . if anything it would be freezing rain

Sent from my SM-G900V using Tapatalk


[/quote]

Yeah, it's even reading the ZR tonight/tomorrow from the sim radar or whatever as snow in SC/NC/GA.
 
GainesvilleWX link said:
[quote author=Storm5 link=topic=54.msg2368#msg2368 date=1481923579]
[quote author=Starburst link=topic=54.msg2362#msg2362 date=1481923394]
Most of that is not snow if at all into the deeper South.  850s hot.
Oh no doubt , they are not even close . if anything it would be freezing rain

Sent from my SM-G900V using Tapatalk
[/quote]
Call me crazy but I've always enjoyed ice events.
[/quote]
I agree as long as it's like every 6 years or so

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Storm5 link said:
[quote author=metwannabe link=topic=54.msg2361#msg2361 date=1481923372]
That's what getting NAM'd looks like ^^^^^ Lol
the nws already dismissed it saying the NAM has a know bias of being to slow to clear precip out by 4 hours!!!!! and thus the above result lol

4 hours!!!

Sent from my SM-G900V using Tapatalk
[/quote]

Day late and a dollar short.... welcome to my world
 
Starburst link said:
[quote author=Storm5 link=topic=54.msg2368#msg2368 date=1481923579]
[quote author=Starburst link=topic=54.msg2362#msg2362 date=1481923394]
Most of that is not snow if at all into the deeper South.  850s hot.
Oh no doubt , they are not even close . if anything it would be freezing rain

Sent from my SM-G900V using Tapatalk


[/quote]

Yeah, it's even reading the ZR tonight/tomorrow from the sim radar or whatever as snow in SC/NC/GA.
[/quote]
sounds about right lol. maybe one day we can have model that accurately gets precip right in regards to the upper temps

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I would like to start seeing the short range models soon, on this event
 
my favorite short range model the RGEM is most likely correct
de76c94f74a3a1ca8efe27aa07698dbf.jpg


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Storm5 link said:
my favorite short range model the RGEM is most likely correct
de76c94f74a3a1ca8efe27aa07698dbf.jpg


Sent from my SM-G900V using Tapatalk
thats already wrong anyways, its not even showing the ice event for Carolinas lol
 
Storm5 link said:
[quote author=metwannabe link=topic=54.msg2361#msg2361 date=1481923372]
That's what getting NAM'd looks like ^^^^^ Lol
the nws already dismissed it saying the NAM has a know bias of being to slow to clear precip out by 4 hours!!!!! and thus the above result lol

4 hours!!!

Sent from my SM-G900V using Tapatalk
[/quote]They dismissed it last year too when it nailed an event
 
accu35 link said:
[quote author=Storm5 link=topic=54.msg2380#msg2380 date=1481925478]
my favorite short range model the RGEM is most likely correct
de76c94f74a3a1ca8efe27aa07698dbf.jpg


Sent from my SM-G900V using Tapatalk
thats already wrong anyways, its not even showing the ice event for Carolinas lol
[/quote]
because it does not count ice as snow....

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Stormlover link said:
[quote author=Storm5 link=topic=54.msg2365#msg2365 date=1481923483]
[quote author=metwannabe link=topic=54.msg2361#msg2361 date=1481923372]
That's what getting NAM'd looks like ^^^^^ Lol
the nws already dismissed it saying the NAM has a know bias of being to slow to clear precip out by 4 hours!!!!! and thus the above result lol

4 hours!!!

Sent from my SM-G900V using Tapatalk
[/quote]They dismissed it last year too when it nailed an event
[/quote]
yes sir they did . the NAM spanked them last year

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Stormlover link said:
[quote author=Storm5 link=topic=54.msg2365#msg2365 date=1481923483]
[quote author=metwannabe link=topic=54.msg2361#msg2361 date=1481923372]
That's what getting NAM'd looks like ^^^^^ Lol
the nws already dismissed it saying the NAM has a know bias of being to slow to clear precip out by 4 hours!!!!! and thus the above result lol

4 hours!!!

Sent from my SM-G900V using Tapatalk
[/quote]They dismissed it last year too when it nailed an event
[/quote]Your right and J P Dice went with the NAM on that event
 
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