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Misc Stock Market

Uh...well this would be super scary. Last time the Fed Funds rate was this high was 2008. Might as well turn out the lights for ATH's anytime soon...couple this with QT...we screwed.

 
This is quite a bold market prediction. So, I don’t know if I buy it:


Well how about that, a perfect market prediction of the Dow open! I'll have to follow this guy more often.

Meanwhile, US crude is down another $8 to $101, which is a whopping $29 down from the high set a week ago and near the low of the month! Oil shorts have made a killing the last week.
 
What the hell
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They ignore US calls but invite Xi. Markets and more specially the petrodollar is not going to like that.
 
Well I did it. Long 420 spy put ( September) for $3.2k. I probably just ended the bear market.

Going to sell weekly puts against this for a couple hundred a week.
 
Another software name getting absolutely crushed...how in the world all these SAAS names went parabolic.

COUP was trading at almost $400/share last summer...are us retail dummies that dumb...

COUP down to $65/share...was at $100/share earlier today.

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Not much to add here, this thread is…

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In many ways, this is calculated and supports stop loss against the Ruble

 
Well in March 2020, Fed cut rates to 0%, started QE, flooding the market with liquidity, Trump was giving out billions in stimulus. And inflation wasn’t approaching double digits. ?

But yeah, I think the market starts moving higher…these dips will get bought
 
Well in March 2020, Fed cut rates to 0%, started QE, flooding the market with liquidity, Trump was giving out billions in stimulus. And inflation wasn’t approaching double digits.

But yeah, I think the market starts moving higher…these dips will get bought

When ? Wednesday ?


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Well in March 2020, Fed cut rates to 0%, started QE, flooding the market with liquidity, Trump was giving out billions in stimulus. And inflation wasn’t approaching double digits. ?

But yeah, I think the market starts moving higher…these dips will get bought
My gut is we keep seeing the same ---- we have seen since January through end of year at least. Down 1% for several days followed by up 1.5% in one day. It'll just "slowly" bleed. Might park my IRA/401k/Roth in cash or something super safe (not sure what?).
 
100% out as of today, including the brokerage account. 2-4 weeks to begin alignment on defense, fertz, and energy. Dumped wheat and NG. Holding till the geopolitical landscape comes in to better focus, maybe with some toes in INT markets.
 
My gut is we keep seeing the same ---- we have seen since January through end of year at least. Down 1% for several days followed by up 1.5% in one day. It'll just "slowly" bleed. Might park my IRA/401k/Roth in cash or something super safe (not sure what?).
I bought a couple Series I Bonds the other day. It’s paying 7% annually right now and it’s likely to keep paying that or more, as I don’t think inflation is going down soon. You can only buy $10k per person per year tho, and have to hold it for at least 12 months.
 
I bought a couple Series I Bonds the other day. It’s paying 7% annually right now and it’s likely to keep paying that or more, as I don’t think inflation is going down soon. You can only buy $10k per person per year tho, and have to hold it for at least 12 months.
Yea I have been considering that. How does it work? I assume you can't buy in a brokerage.. so where is your "proof of purchase"?
 
Yea I have been considering that. How does it work? I assume you can't buy in a brokerage.. so where is your "proof of purchase"?

You have to create an account on Treasury Direct and buy using a linked bank account. Once you buy the bond it shows up in your Treasury Direct account. You can also buy EE bonds but the interest rate sucks on those right now.
 

You have to create an account on Treasury Direct and buy using a linked bank account. Once you buy the bond it shows up in your Treasury Direct account. You can also buy EE bonds but the interest rate sucks on those right now.
Ah ok that makes sense. Can you buy it with a credit card? I'm assuming not but would be great on my 2% cash back card.
 

They ignore US calls but invite Xi. Markets and more specially the petrodollar is not going to like that.
China, Digi dollar buying up any and every commodity they can. While the petro dollar/us dollar is backed by nothing but paper its printed on. Worrisome.Been going that way since 1970s, beleive Nixon admin was when decession was made it didnt need Gold to back it or transition away. In Kyiv, stocks, money mean diddly. Flour,oil,water,food is all that matters. Something to think about.
 
The 2 step forward,one step back DJI has been shuffeling to, is now 1 step forward, 1 step back.
We are 8 points lower than where we where 12 months ago as of today. A wash! Cant build any momentum
 
China, Digi dollar buying up any and every commodity they can. While the petro dollar/us dollar is backed by nothing but paper its printed on. Worrisome.Been going that way since 1970s, beleive Nixon admin was when decession was made it didnt need Gold to back it or transition away. In Kyiv, stocks, money mean diddly. Flour,oil,water,food is all that matters. Something to think about.
What does this even mean?
 

I’ll add onto this with an observation of my own with another index…

In 2020, the Dow death cross in March and golden cross in August 2020 were not good indicators in the longer run.

The death cross came after most of the move had happened, if not all of it, the golden cross came in the mid 27k’s and it moved to 29200ish and got dunked on.

Also heard recently that SPX had a death cross that wasn’t an indicator of a longer term trend in 2016.

Now maybe this time is different in a bad way.
 
NQ bounced right off the May lows from last year....would be nice if it would do this when market is open. We either rally from here or we see $12300.

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