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Misc Stock Market

Really wasn’t looking for an up day yesterday but that was disappointing. That move into 4320 or so in premarket looks like a liquidity grab (and understandable because it really did look as if there was not much selling juice on Thursday).

I can't imagine that we see a big gap down on Sunday for the third week in a row, but considering that the war hasn't stopped, it probably happens. Probably down Monday and Tuesday and then I wouldn't be surprised if Wednesday opened higher for the 3rd week in a row because shorts probably front run the "unwind hedges" effect and are currently in full control. It likely takes a surprise like late January to throw things off again.

(coming from a library instead of at home as I still don’t have very functional internet, outside of a couple hours at night recently where I got lucky, AT&T is a few days away from possibly losing a customer for their internet)
 
That comment was followed by this lol
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Things heating up in the world . You would think we have a red day tomorrow or Tuesday and a Huge run up Wednesday for the fed meeting. But , everything I thought I knew about this market I was wrong on so.....
aaafc59d9d619c912fb872e0f5b2de2c.jpg



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Things heating up in the world . You would think we have a red day tomorrow or Tuesday and a Huge run up Wednesday for the fed meeting. But , everything I thought I knew about this market I was wrong on so.....
aaafc59d9d619c912fb872e0f5b2de2c.jpg



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Tomorrow going to rip after more peace in our time tweets. Rock and a hard place for the market, though. Peace = extra cover for the Fed to fight inflation.
 
Tomorrow going to rip after more peace in our time tweets. Rock and a hard place for the market, though. Peace = extra cover for the Fed to fight inflation.

We will see . Talking about getting closer and signing are two different things . Although I hope for a pump cause I bought Amazon 2930 calls Friday lol


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You would think that the Fed announcing what they're going to do on Wednesday would cause volatility to get crushed, which at least "should" lead to a rally, unless what's announced is more hawkish than expected.

Problem is, it's OPEX and quad, which has generally been bearish.

So, I think bottom comes intraday on the 21st at 3960-4040.

Even if this is a 2000 or 2008, it should last for a while. March tends to produce durable bottoms.
 
You would think that the Fed announcing what they're going to do on Wednesday would cause volatility to get crushed, which at least "should" lead to a rally, unless what's announced is more hawkish than expected.

Problem is, it's OPEX and quad, which has generally been bearish.

So, I think bottom comes intraday on the 21st at 3960-4040.

Even if this is a 2000 or 2008, it should last for a while. March tends to produce durable bottoms.
Agree. Monday following quad witching during these bearish engulfing type setups usually at least tags a substantial wick below the previous Friday’s lows.
 
History says…buy the dip

 
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This is quite a bold market prediction. So, I don’t know if I buy it:

 
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Bulls about to get taken to the woodshed when they buy in to the gap up at open tomorrow morning, then get crushed when we end the day 2%.

Or not, I don’t know anything. ?
 
DAX dropped almost 24% in first 2 months of the year and has erased more than half of that in a week. V shape rally for the win…

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