Severe weather 2020

[NWMSGuy]

Track seems be Dixie alley again... hard believe here midsouth we keep missing the big ones... Memphis area I’m referring to... usually mid April to mid May is our best peak time catch something on the high end.

So you're thinking the potential next week will again be further South and away from the Memphis (Midsouth) area?

 

[Shaggy]

Hard to say right now, but the plains into the southeast (Dixie alley) would be favored rn, as we head further into spring things should start shifting into the plains

Could see a pretty busy next 14 days. We always have the chance of seeing the threats dropped like this weekends event was. Quite frankly we saw enough already and we dont need to see anymore. With the 12 confirmed NC tornados and the outbreak earlier in the year we are already pushing strong numbers.

 

[tennessee storm]

So you're thinking the potential next week will again be further South and away from the Memphis (Midsouth) area?

Today’s global models r hinting at that way for now... course plenty time to watch

 

[Myfrotho704_]

I still wouldn’t sleep on the threat for this weekend into early next week, especially near the gulf coast, with flatter flow aloft from the WSW/W and flow in the lower levels from the SW

 

[Arcc]

Wouldn’t take much to trend into something much bigger.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Wouldn’t take much to trend into something much bigger.

Eerily similar to last March 3rd, which produced the Beauregard AL/smith station EF4

 

[Shaggy]

Wouldn’t take much to trend into something much bigger.

Models keep this low too flat west to east. If the went from GSP to Richmond then that would have been worse for the carolinas piedmont and coastal zones but as of now the models are in good agreement so this is a deep south threat. The gfs has 989mb 30 miles south of me.

 

[MattLabenzwx]

Severe weather season in the plains really looks ramp up next week. Not surprised

 

[BirdManDoomW]

So Webber thinks surface low will trend north west so big time severe for western NC again and everyone? All lows have corrected north as time got closer since December

 

[Myfrotho704_]

So Webber thinks surface low will trend north west so big time severe for western NC again and everyone? All lows have corrected north as time got closer since December

Well given that the gfs is once again building heights more and more each run ahead of the system, it’s quite possible

 

[Myfrotho704_]

geez some multi day outbreak looks from the gfs

 

[Brick Tamland]

Hey, at least we have a one day break between the severe threats next week.

 

[MattLabenzwx]

Just like that the euro completely switched to eastern trough.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

this looks so similar to the last big one.... please no

 

[cd2play]

this looks so similar to the last big one.... please no View attachment 39634View attachment 39635

I honestly don't know how much more we can take.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

I honestly don't know how much more we can take.

Unfortunately pattern repetition is a thing and it’s held strong this year

 

[Webberweather53]

Tornado printer go brrrr

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Tis the season

 

[MattLabenzwx]

Will be very interesting to see how the models handle next week. Analogs say severe weather. We shall see

 

[MattLabenzwx]

Looks like Tuesday/Wednesday is an Oklahoma severe threat before the threat shifts east towards Dixie.