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September Sizzling Summer Segway

Probably going to be just like last Sept and October this year. This year maybe much more humid though. I Could see highs into the high 80's through much of November and 80-85 right through December if this pattern does not change. As far as precip goes this may be a lot like 2001. VERY dry east of the mountains.
 
JHS said:
Probably going to be just like last Sept and October this year. This year maybe much more humid though. I Could see highs into the high 80's through much of November and 80-85 right through December if this pattern does not change. As far as precip goes this may be a lot like 2001. VERY dry east of the mountains.
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Birdmandoom type post
 
The 12z Euro looked better than the GFS at day 10. It would have a developing CAD setup (maybe). Bottom line the GFS, Canadian, and the Euro have different solutions at day 10; meaning anything is still on the table. Me personally, I'm going to focus on the mid term and see if we can get a cool down this weekend. All the major models have dew points dropping into the 50s for many of us. Temps are still warm (in the 80s) but those low dew points will still feel great. The Euro even has dew points in the 40s for central NC for Sunday, with warm highs in the 80s.
 
It is apparently 83 with a dp of 79 at my house. That seems just mean for September.
 
FallsLake said:
Well the 12z GFS is back to its warm long range look (no CAD). It keeps that big west Atlantic ridge in place and causes the I-95 corridor to swelter in tropical air. The Canadian sweeps the cold front through allowing all to feel refreshing fall air by day 10.
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The run to run consistency with the GFS is what has me worried. The atmospheric river looks to rage.


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Luckily for us, I don't take anything these models show even remotely serious past day 3-5 at this point. These things have been wrong and completely flip flopping in 72 hour periods. That goes for whether it would be cold, hot, rain, snow, etc ... GFS, Canadian, EURO, the Ensembles have all been lets just say not doing too well in the consistency and accuracy standpoint for a while now.
 
Theres actually some weak shear around WNC right now, wouldn’t shock me if there’s a few things that rotate weakly
 
JHS said:
Probably going to be just like last Sept and October this year. This year maybe much more humid though. I Could see highs into the high 80's through much of November and 80-85 right through December if this pattern does not change. As far as precip goes this may be a lot like 2001. VERY dry east of the mountains.
Click to expand...
Did you see next week? ???
 
I kind of like what Saturday might be bringing.

Capture.JPG
 
Those showers over i40 are crazy with rates easily over 2”. Very tropical like with some flooding in spots
 
If the Euro is right we are well on our way to a repeat of last fall. VERY hot and VERY dry.
 
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