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Pattern Scorchtember

pcbjr said:
sounds like a rock n' roll show from the late '60's or early 70's

~~~~~~~~~~

Actin' funny, but I don't know why
'Scuse me while I kiss the sky
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My song the whole summer: Been through the desert on a horse with no name! CSN ?
 
Myfrotho704_ said:
Welp whoever said it took a hurricane to get a pattern change wasn’t lying, lol View attachment 23384
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Well there's some hints about a large low (the one near Chicago in the pic) already on several model runs. A hurricane would amplify the situation as shown if timed right. That could even bring frost to the upper SE if it happened.
 
Seems like we always used to get our first big front sometime in the last half of September. It was in the upper 30s in Carrollton in late September 2001 ! Atl was officially 44 in Sept 01.
 
NoSnowATL said:
Where have we seen this before? UMMM all last winter. Different year. Same Weather.
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I know that feeling of Delayed and Denied during winter. But this cold front might actually have something to it. It's been consistently forecast with the GFS having it arriving in the last few days of September.

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It seems like every model has a pattern change toward the end of the month or at least less of a torch. The GEFS has seemed to continue to strengthen the cooler temps over the past few runs. It’s long range yes but maybe possibly we have hope on the horizon
 
Storm5 said:
That’s a sexy front at the end of the gfs run . Can’t wait for verification in like mid October


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Exactly! It looks great but we first saw the pattern change pop up on the end of the runs last week and everyday it gets pushed back further and further. To the point where we are on the verge of the hottest September ever.


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Storm5 said:
That’s a sexy front at the end of the gfs run . Can’t wait for verification in like mid October


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We are probably going to start seeing some end to the ridging in the d10 time frame and possibly a breakdown afterward. I'm personally still not sure we go west ridge/east trough but we may finally at least be able to break the ridge and trend back to normal

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Hit 92 in raleigh with a heat index of 72 . Raleigh has avoided much of this heat really . Past few years it seems to mostly focus charlotte south and west.

None the less nws has some storm chances next few days hope they materialize
 
Hello wedge
680b1c9ebe637a6e4b0e3229abe908f9.jpg


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SoutheastRidge said:
Seems like we always used to get our first big front sometime in the last half of September. It was in the upper 30s in Carrollton in late September 2001 ! Atl was officially 44 in Sept 01.
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It sometimes takes a little while. Just like back in April SC and NC got some snow, a month into Spring
 
I find it funny when people use examples of colder than normal years and play it off as a normal and wonder why it’s not like that year. I get it the heat is a pain but be patient relief will come unless your phil in Gainesville Florida ( well they got a while to go down there) .

Yes this September is hot , for Atlanta it’s still a solid 3-5 degrees if I’m not mistaken COOLER than the record hottest up to this date . Yes it’s hotter than normal but for much of this forums area the average high has yet to drop below 80 with 2 weeks more to go for northern locales like raleigh drop below 80 for avg. Avg for this date is 84/64 at RDU.
 
Anyone use radar omega? Thoughts? I use radarscope now. Looking for an alternative.
 
Lickwx said:
I find it funny when people use examples of colder than normal years and play it off as a normal and wonder why it’s not like that year. I get it the heat is a pain but be patient relief will come unless your phil in Gainesville Florida ( well they got a while to go down there) .

Yes this September is hot , for Atlanta it’s still a solid 3-5 degrees if I’m not mistaken COOLER than the record hottest up to this date . Yes it’s hotter than normal but for much of this forums area the average high has yet to drop below 80 with 2 weeks more to go for northern locales like raleigh drop below 80 for avg. Avg for this date is 84/64 at RDU.
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Atlanta’s warmest December ever was in 1925, long before any of us were alive probably, and was 84F. So far this month the average is 84.2F. So yeah, this can be called extreme. Then add to the fact that last September became the second warmest on record.
 
the heat is one thing, the lack of rain is quite another

DFW Airport has yet
to see a drop of rain this month; 2019 may join 2000 and 2017 as
one of the only years to have no measurable September rainfall
through the autumnal equinox.

note both years are recent :rolleyes:
 
RAH mentioned a possible cool down next week (wedge). The GFS agrees and shows dew points in the 50s and temps falling back to the 70s and low 80s by Wednesday. Then just for eye candy the 6z GFS has this way off in la la land (but this is what we're waiting for..):
aaaa.jpg
 
Still skeptical about the GFS cool push. Seems the SER is not easily giving up in GA at least. Also they just love the ATL heat island on their maps.


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FallsLake said:
RAH mentioned a possible cool down next week (wedge). The GFS agrees and shows dew points in the 50s and temps falling back to the 70s and low 80s by Wednesday. Then just for eye candy the 6z GFS has this way off in la la land (but this is what we're waiting for..):
View attachment 23455
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euro is complete opposite... till euro shows this. No way I’m buying it
 
Our big wet day tomorrow, down to a big 30% chance of isolated t storms! Just keep winning! Drought begets drought, and apparently, can deflect hurricanes! ☹️
 
GSP has tied the September 12 record for max high temp. 95F. If local Wunderground is to be believed, we've broken it at 96F. #winning
 
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