Larry,
Do you think we will need alot of changes between now and beginning of December to realistically get excited about winter or is it too early still to know?
Big changes and perhaps divine intervention
Larry,
Do you think we will need alot of changes between now and beginning of December to realistically get excited about winter or is it too early still to know?
We certainly have seen a shift to a predominantly -pna/+nao look during the transition seasons and winter. Thankfully the ridge over AK can be oriented in certain ways that it can provide cold for us even in the the face of an otherwise meh background setup. I'm not sure if this just a multi year thing or a climate thing but chances are it'll flip at some point.Patience, we have been on a streak of AN falls, the last BN fall I remember was in 2009. Maybe this is a new norm and we should just accept it. No coincidence that we are on a streak of AN winters.
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Yeah, I'd give 100 something like a 10% chance....so not out of the realm of possibilities. That would make it the latest 100 by 8 days going back to 1879!!
As it is, I think 98+ is about a 2 in 3 chance as of now. 99+ is maybe a 1 in 3 chance. I can't believe we're talking about temps like this on 9/17 in Atlanta!
Yep it’s so dry there’s even pop up showers currently from upstate Greenville to Charlotte.Yep, drought begets drought! The least amount of precip, is over the current driest spots!
Outflow boundaries , smell like fallAh yes the ol miss on both sides.
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Me too!!First rain I’ve had in years #CrushedView attachment 23669
103 today. Yay!!