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Pattern Scorchtember

SouthATLwx said:
ATL's high today was 83*F.

Thus, it's just warm enough to continue the above average streak (+1°F today).
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79.0F here today and 77.9F yesterday, only made it to 60.4F this morning though.
 
SoutheastRidge said:
You must live on top of Kennesaw Mountain.
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Close to Sweat Mountain, but I have a weather station away from any buildings 6 feet off the ground like it’s supposed to be unlike so many other asshats around. Mine is usually right inline with weather.com zip 30062 within a degree or two.
 
FWIW, Accuweather is showing low to mid 90s in Atlanta thru 10/03 then an abrupt cooldown with highs in the 70s the rest of October.
 
SoutheastRidge said:
FWIW, Accuweather is showing low to mid 90s in Atlanta thru 10/03 then an abrupt cooldown with highs in the 70s the rest of October.
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I know its accuweather, but if all of that verifies it would be another 7 records.
 
Weather in Vegas looks awesome though.

742DD7FA-46AD-4839-B519-B575DF077094.png
 
Myfrotho704_ said:
have a freind that goes fishing named chuck, wins fishing tourneys all the time, and he says water levels are even lower than last time he saw at high rock lake, once again dead crappie and a few carp on some parts of the bank, I’ve never seen/heard the lake that low in the past year I’ve known about it, and btw, if we don’t get rain, fire season is gonna be terrible in the NC mountains again, you gotta remember with fall fronts there’s typically more downsloping which kills off precipitation, and those LLVL jets can create some really strong winds up there, just imagine that with a fire, Issa 2016 repeat, it’s gonna likely take a TC to alleviate drought, with a ridge like that, don’t really expect “normal rain events”, some folks say drought ain’t as bad as a cane but if it continues, it could be just simply started by a small fire or a simple still lit ? that’s thrown out of a car window
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Here in Erwin, TN grass is straight up dead. Leaves are changing but they are browning. Hasn’t rained a drop in 3-4 weeks with temps above 80 basically every day. Only 1-3 inches of rain in last 60days across my valley.

tons of dry creek beds. It’s dry out here.

and no end in sight.B0394712-9E4A-4951-A274-277B417B2CF3.png
 
Fountainguy97 said:
Here in Erwin, TN grass is straight up dead. Leaves are changing but they are browning. Hasn’t rained a drop in 3-4 weeks with temps above 80 basically every day. Only 1-3 inches of rain in last 60days across my valley.

tons of dry creek beds. It’s dry out here.

and no end in sight.View attachment 23791
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Sweet baby jesus....

It's going to be looking like the Mojave Desert around here.
 
FWIW, the trends on the 00z run were somewhat positive from a temp standpoint.

With that center of the ridge setting up NW of here, it opens the door for CAD.
 
KyloG said:
This could develop into a big problem, especially going into a Nina, potentially a multi year nina. Sky’s not quite falling yet.

View attachment 23792
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I'm sure we are knocking on a Nina year, but isn't there a cold neutral/weak nino chance we get there this year? Couple years ago we were in a neutral year and I scored 3 times within a months time. I hoping we do that again
 
cd2play said:
Just when does this finally end? :(
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Hoping mid-Oct. I guess a saving grace might be if we get the departures again in Nov/Dec we would finally get our fall weather.
 
BHS1975 said:
This may have something if not all to do with the warmth.


https://www.arctictoday.com/arctic-...um-extent-but-thats-just-part-of-the-picture/


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I'd think that the lower ice is correlation and not causation. The pattern we are locked in is causing some warmth up there too, not producing more warmth down here. It's likely the hurricanes buffing the SER every time one passes, and in turn doing the same when they make it to the arctic. When we finally shut down the OTS hurricanes we should be able to shut off this heat dome and the same would likely happen up there as well.
 
ForsythSnow said:
I'd think that the lower ice is correlation and not causation. The pattern we are locked in is causing some warmth up there too, not producing more warmth down here. It's likely the hurricanes buffing the SER every time one passes, and in turn doing the same when they make it to the arctic. When we finally shut down the OTS hurricanes we should be able to shut off this heat dome and the same would likely happen up there as well.
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Is there any evidence that would support a theory that hurricanes are a type of thermal relief valve for the atmosphere? Conducting heat from the ocean water to the lower troposphere and then into the upper atmosphere where it can be dispersed by entropy and finally wasted to the cold abyss of space? So once the hurricanes have run their course, we should cool down dramatically and finally get our cold season in the eastern U.S?
 
weatherfide said:
Is there any evidence that would support a theory that hurricanes are a type of thermal relief valve for the atmosphere? Conducting heat from the ocean water to the lower troposphere and then into the upper atmosphere where it can be dispersed by entropy and finally wasted to the cold abyss of space? So once the hurricanes have run their course, we should cool down dramatically and finally get our cold season in the eastern U.S?
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975dae7cc8c2bd5e0fb56f853ed04c0f.gif




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Speaking of severe weather, when the ridge does crash, it’s obviously gonna take a trough to dig and do so, and a strong one at that, which obviously means high shear parameters, just instability is the question with fall setups, only takes 200>JKG as we’ve seen a lot of HSLC events in fall in the past, but this is something that is just a possibility and something the models aren’t even picking up
 
BTW, ATL has hit 90*F+ 79 days this year (the average is 30 37 days).
 
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SoutheastRidge said:
Too bad they dont factor in September as part of their Summer statistics.
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Or May for that matter (how soon we forget, it was also the warmest on record).

If nothing else, we can certainly say this has been a long Summer, with a growing season that started way back in February.
 
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