severestorm
Member
He's giving bad information and probably thinks it's somehow funny.
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Hurricane Debby
- Thread starter Brent
- Start date
NoSnowATL
Member
He is a troll. Just wants you to replay. He will be gone soon again and hopefully for good.
Henry2326
Member
18z HWRF.....sits 2 days in GA and then Moves back to FL the way it came....
Can’t be too far fetched if models were showing 970mb before it was declared an invest. May have a better idea tomorrow when hurricane models run. If it avoids Florida longer then I do see something stronger than CAT3. There is a window.
And yes the water is boiling. 
Really the two big determining factors after it develops will be speed and strength. The 18z GFS stall off NC isn’t supported at all by the GEFS, but the other factors are. The GEFS is really showing all solutions. If it is stronger and faster, it’s gonna come across FL then likely OTS, if it is slower it would allow the ridge to build in and push it west or if it is weak it will be less likely to feel the weakness and move farther west.
severestorm
Member
970mb is NOT a CAT 5 and the water is not 212 degrees F. How about you post something factual for once. Please don't trash this thread.Can’t be too far fetched if models were showing 970mb before it was declared an invest. May have a better idea tomorrow when hurricane models run. If it avoids Florida longer then I do see something stronger than CAT3. There is a window.
lizajane
Member
Well all I know is the fire ants are moving there mounds to higher ground.
Henry2326
Member
00z.....consensus building......
I’d rather have some subsidence than rain
lexxnchloe
Member
A bit more east at 0Z
lexxnchloe
Member
I think the top end for this would be 115mph at best. Most likely 95-105
lexxnchloe
Member
I dont think they are saying 970 is a cat 5, just that might be possible since some models were already showing a sub 970 pressure. Nothing this close to the coast will get that strong though
severestorm
Member
Except there's nothing showing boiling water or CAT 5 in ANY of the models.
lexxnchloe
Member
AI FWIW
Whoever ordered an atmospheric river for the cities in Florida, Savannah and Charlestown are gonna get it. Could see some extreme flooding from likely #debby
lexxnchloe
Member
If it stalls that would be a problem
My flood zone
accu35
Member
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Until this gets its act together and we have a close low it’s anyone guess. As @Henry2326 said earlier, depends where it exits from Cuba will determine where it may go.
Downeastnc
Member
00ZGFS weak system into west Florida then keeps it offshore and OTS after it emerges into the ATL.
ICON is rough keeps it just offshore all the way from GA to NC where it landfalls as a weak cane....but hammers parts of the Carolinas with rainfall
ICON is rough keeps it just offshore all the way from GA to NC where it landfalls as a weak cane....but hammers parts of the Carolinas with rainfall