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Hurricane Debby

NoSnowATL said:
Stolen info from the bad people.

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Something I would watch is just how much that Bermuda high strengthens in the next couple days. Models have been very consistent on having it get fairly stout. Strong enough and you’ll see the southern and west end of that guidance more likely to verify.
 
Stuck and down to 975 MB. Back to a rainy, gusty, overwash, several high tide cycles for the OBX and sounds

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GFS very climo like. Mostly just low country flooding, deadly rip currents and beach erosion.
 
A slow moving Cat 1 or 2 hurricane hugging the southeast coast would present some major flooding concerns in Florida and eastern portions of Georgia, South Carolina and North Carolina. This is one storm we will have to watch closely. The models seem to be coming into better agreement as far as what might happen with today's runs.
 
Even though we’re technically still in drought, the Great Pee Dee, Little Pee Dee and Lumber Rivers are all currently out their banks as I’ve seen the last couple of days. Not by much but enough to submerge the bottomlands. Even a mild area wide rain event would push them into structures without much trouble.
 
ChrisAMB said:
That stalling solution would probably cut an inlet all the way to Avon from the corner at Buxton in the Outer Banks. It’s already hanging on for dear life right there.
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I was at Holden Bach Sunday and there is already a cliff of sand where high tides are cutting deeper into the beach. At high tide the beach is only 30 yards wide there
 
Shaggy said:
I was at Holden Bach Sunday and there is already a cliff of sand where high tides are cutting deeper into the beach. At high tide the beach is only 30 yards wide there
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Yea the closer you get to Cape Fear the beaches are in bad shape. The current pulls the sand south so strangely if you go to Sunset Beach it’s been growing for decades. At low tide it’s wild how broad the beach is.
 
This thing gets good enough and we are in a state of emergency for a couple weeks and I work…. I might get paid anywhere from 10-20k on my check and that’s being conservative … emergency pay plus regular pay plus overtime plus extended shift …. Emergency pay is absurd , I know someone who got a 4K dollar check back when we made like 10 dollars an hour less just for working a snowstorm for 4 days or somin… hell all I need is 3-4 days emergency pay and I’m prolly looking at a 7k dollar check
 
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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Thu Aug 1 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Straits of Florida and Eastern Gulf of Mexico (AL97):
A well-defined tropical wave is producing a large area of
disorganized showers and thunderstorms over Hispaniola, the
southeastern Bahamas, and the adjacent waters of the southwestern
Atlantic. The wave is expected to move west-northwestward near or
over Cuba on Friday and then emerge over the Straits of Florida
Friday night or Saturday. Environmental conditions are expected to
be conducive for additional development after that time, and a
tropical depression is likely to form this weekend over the Straits
of Florida or eastern Gulf of Mexico near the Florida Peninsula.

Regardless of development, heavy rains could cause areas of flash
flooding across Florida, Cuba, and the Bahamas through the weekend,
and interests in these locations should continue to monitor the
progress of this system. A NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft is
scheduled to investigate this system on Friday, if necessary.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.
 
18z HWRF.....Further east than 12z......and it sits over south GA for 2 days.


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