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Ostrich December

GFS also hinting at a clipper following the front. With the frigid air it wouldn’t take much.
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Snow pack to our north. Cold air coming. Gotta think something big is about to pop on the models this weekend..probably miss Christmas but after?
 
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This is how we determined our state borders in South Carolina.


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There's some of the gefs that are getting closer with the trailing energy on Christmas and shortly after. We would have to have perfect timing to get that wave in before the cold leaves
If cold leaves it’s prob gonna be onset ice/Miller B given the strength of this cold wave
 
It's 150 hours out. They still might. Would probably cut, though, given the LW trough position.
From the model look, I think that it either phases, and becomes an anafront, or gets cut off which I bet is due to the Euro bias, and gets held in the SW. Edit: The GFS cuts it off too.
 
at worst I could see some flurries as a possibility, especially if you get a GFS like solution with the UL trough further south, snowflakes on Christmas is a win for sure, but the model agreement here is to good, watch them diverge soon over the next few days 8835228C-620E-469E-AFB4-7AE2B2D3A689.pngF6E04EE5-FB1A-46B9-A195-F659A46742A5.png1AA6FE47-B898-4129-BA4D-127618ABCB0C.png
 
Man, wouldn't it be nice if we could get that low the ECMWF/GFS show near Baja further east....
You know nowadays it won’t get out of there until our upper level trough is gone, we suck, I’m more interested In anafrontal snow because our luck with Baja waves has been abysmal the last 2 years, they eject when were ridged, and give us 33 and rain
 
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