The GFS has been trending much better over the past three runs.
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Ostrich December
- Thread starter SETNwx
- Start date
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Yep, very similar trend on its ensemble and the EPS too.
not far here from a miller A look 
Need the energy in the Rockies to dig a little more and separate from the main initial system
I have a hard time seeing this being a Miller A only because the wave axis is over the NE. However, as @SD said, get the two waves to separate, and that NE wave could translate into a 50/50 low.
That looks solid for some severe weather, pretty legit warm sector if you ask me, lol 
Yeah I mean in a perfect would you could try to sneak a true southern slider in here but it would require near perfect wave timing. If the trailing energy detaches and slows it puts some of the region in the game since we can try to build the cold in but with a lack of a tall western ridge and potential kickers behind the trailing wave we would likely go the miller B route. But this still D7/8/9 so who knows
Lol GFS vs CMC vs ICON at 138 hours, wildly different.
CMC for the system it showed ice with last night is now some severe weather, at least the 50/50 is still there 
Lol CMC has a solid snowstorm for Oklahoma in 5-6 days now.
So the GEFS actually has a few interesting members for those to the west. 
1 member with a CAD storm.... congrats 
I guess it’s getting better, 
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
No wonder we are struggling to get cold air
Maybe if we can keep that negative AO around it will help us keep us from getting blowtorch warmth when the pattern shifts, and perhaps it will help to pull out of that pattern a little quicker. I know one of the big issues the last couple years has been just highly a positive AO we were seeing... often at record levels
BHS1975
Member
Yeah all the favorable indices in the world won't help you with that unless you just want to keep from torching.
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
During the downtime’s after today’s event , can y’all help me track this storm for me over this coming weekend? It’s been snow, rain, now looks snowier on 12z GFS! Maybe someone can post the good euro maps later today? Thanks in advance and I’m serious! 
Yep, this is more than just a normal warm variation. Unfortunately, for cold preferrers like myself, this kind of thing may become more and more common in the future with the Arctic, itself, so much warmer than normal most of the time. But we’ll survive lol. For instance, we’re still having a nice chilly first third of Dec thanks to a solid +PNA even with a much warmer than normal Canada. For example, way down to 26 F at Hogtown and 27F near here at Hunter last week. It can still get plenty cold.
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StormStalker
Member
That’s a real Bobby Dazzla right there! A top pocket find mate!
(I hope someone gets that).
Euro may do something interesting 