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Ostrich December
- Thread starter SETNwx
- Start date
That nw trend is worrisome tho. Gonna look like the icon sooner or later
I'd like for there to be some staying power with the depictions of the PV moving into Canada, instead of retreating to the other side of the world. It seems like every winter lately, no matter what background state you can come up with, the result tends to be similar. Fast flow and all the cold air bottled up in the Arctic or Siberia, with a few exceptions here or there, if were lucky. I don't know.
I would like to see a cold spell like we had a few years back in early-mid January. There was a little snow (more for others) but that cold was impressive. Falls Lake froze over and it truly looked and felt like winter,
LickWx
Member
Not a shocker at all, Siberia is the most favored location for it considering it’s a huge landmass . If it’s any consolation North America is its second most favored location . While Europe .... well that almost never happens.
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ATLwxfan
Member
Just saw, yeah that’s not good, watch the icon be right here
Yep, what a disaster 
Tarheel1
I TOLD YALL IT WASN’T GOING TO SNOW
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SE trend FTL up here! ??
SnowNiner
Member
Bigger issue....AK vortex goes north, not retrograding southwest. PNA goes good bye and we're back to warm Pacific flow. Terrible. Pacific has to cooperate. Hopefully it flips back. 
AJ1013
Member
Coldest morning of the season here with a low of 47F.
Terrible
Yes! I'm going back to lurking for a while.
L
Logan Is An Idiot 02
Guest
That is impressive.... I'm sure it's no where close but what is the record low for this time of year?
whatalife
Moderator
Day 10 from 00z ensembles:
Day 15 from 00z ensembles:
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Day 15 from 00z ensembles:
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Really not that bad, I said it don't @ meDay 10 from 00z ensembles:
Day 15 from 00z ensembles:
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Looks wonky with the Arctic heights split like that. Not buying it yet.Bigger issue....AK vortex goes north, not retrograding southwest. PNA goes good bye and we're back to warm Pacific flow. Terrible. Pacific has to cooperate. Hopefully it flips back.
View attachment 56776
whatalife
Moderator
Indeed
Tarheel1
I TOLD YALL IT WASN’T GOING TO SNOW
Member
2024 Supporter
2017-2023 Supporter
2025 Supporter
God I’ve missed you! ?
Tarheel1
I TOLD YALL IT WASN’T GOING TO SNOW
Member
2024 Supporter
2017-2023 Supporter
2025 Supporter
Yep!
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
Member
You sweating yet? That I-85 rain/snow line found you in Iowa! Good luck!
AJ1013
Member
Record low for the month of December is 30F. For December 10-15 record lows are 37, 32, 30, 33, 35, 35
AJ1013
Member
I mean I guess you can but Iguanas kind of suck. The freeze in 2010 killed off over 90% of them which was great.
Oh wow.
Day 10 from 00z ensembles:
Day 15 from 00z ensembles:
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I’m actually surprised you received up votes for this. Really hope this flips. The 10m is warm over AK and Siberia the next two weeks.
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ATLwxfan
Member
What is a “epic fail?”
What Jay said or do you see something?
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People say I'm overly optimistic, but I still like the prospects of a great blocking pattern. As other folks have stated, the models don't do well (or have to play catch up) once blocking starts to materialize. So going on that, the indices still look good or even great to me:
PNA - Now looks to only drop to neutral before going back slightly positive (could be worse..)
NAO - Looks to stay slightly negative and maybe go moderately negative through the LR (can't ask for more for the NAO)
AO - This looks incredible. Looks to drop strongly negative and possible stay that way through the LR (again incredible)
CPC - Climate Weather Linkage: Teleconnections (noaa.gov)
PNA - Now looks to only drop to neutral before going back slightly positive (could be worse..)
NAO - Looks to stay slightly negative and maybe go moderately negative through the LR (can't ask for more for the NAO)
AO - This looks incredible. Looks to drop strongly negative and possible stay that way through the LR (again incredible)
CPC - Climate Weather Linkage: Teleconnections (noaa.gov)
Stephenb888
Member
This has got to be the year that we get a big snowstorm come up through Atlanta and Upstate SC. One that you don’t even have to worry about the I-85 rain/snow line. It’s just gotta be time. I believe.
He’s regurgitating what he sees others say.
tennessee storm
Member
We haven’t had a good blocking pattern during winter in while. Got see it first to believe it... with a La Niña maybe bit harder to sustain. We see...
Yep we ain’t torching nor wasting 3-6” of rain every two days. This winter has potential going into the next few weeks.
An interesting trend with the high pressure for the storm around day 6.
The control is really interesting too.
The control is really interesting too.
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Starting to finally get some semblance of large scale sinking/descent on newer runs as the ridge builds off New England and into SE Canada, forcing surface pressure rises over the Lakes & Quebec
Yeah hopefully this run continues that trend, but anyone still clinging to wave 1, that ship has sailed
Has definitely trended towards more negative tilt
