Ostrich December

[Webberweather53]

For a day 8+ forecast, the ECMWF has been surprisingly consistent w/ this particular rapidly intensifying mid-latitude cyclone near the Aleutians

 

[SD]

Gfs gfs gfs

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Gefs trying to bring back TPV to our side again

 

[Ollie Williams]

Gefs trying to bring back TPV to our side again View attachment 54172

The CMC is on team GEFS.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

If we do get a -EPO the right time and way without trying to bring back the SER, and get the TPV in our backyard, man that could be some serious cold

 

[SD]

If we do get a -EPO the right time and way without trying to bring back the SER, and get the TPV in our backyard, man that could be some serious cold

That gefs look would be fun.

 

[superjames1992]

The CMC is on team GEFS.
View attachment 54174

Looks like a December to Remember. The question is for how weeks will the pattern be two weeks away?

 

[Myfrotho704_]

That gefs look would be fun.

We know the hour 384 gfs sucks and is a meme, but it sorta matches what the gefs shows regarding the TPV, at this point it’s fun to look at

 

[Broken024]

Check out these incoming monsters on members 1,6,19... only 384 hours to go boys

 

[Tarheel1]

We know the hour 384 gfs sucks and is a meme, but it sorta matches what the gefs shows regarding the TPV, at this point it’s fun to look at View attachment 54175View attachment 54176

That looks like it would suck! 10s/0’s highs for me!? No thank you please

 

[Myfrotho704_]

each nam run is upping severe weather parameters in NC

 

[Myfrotho704_]

This is definitely more eye catching here, if 00z runs continue to show this I bet they go Slight

 

[Montanasnow30]

Check out these incoming monsters on members 1,6,19... only 384 hours to go boys
View attachment 54177

Man if member 1 was to verify I’m definitely snow chasing down south

 

[Ollie Williams]

Man if member 9 was to verify I’m definitely snow chasing down south

I'm more focused on member #1!

 

[Webberweather53]

That looks like it would suck! 10s/0’s highs for me!? No thank you please

Lol and you thought you hated cold and dry down here when highs were in the 30s-40s without snow

 

[SD]

We know the hour 384 gfs sucks and is a meme, but it sorta matches what the gefs shows regarding the TPV, at this point it’s fun to look at View attachment 54175View attachment 54176

I fear it's just the gfs doing what the gfs does. That said though the models want to send up another round of Ural ridging in the D7-10 and the tpv gets lobed into siberia. Maybe if we get lucky all the cards fall our way

 

[Webberweather53]

We know the hour 384 gfs sucks and is a meme, but it sorta matches what the gefs shows regarding the TPV, at this point it’s fun to look at View attachment 54175View attachment 54176

The few caveats we will have to contend with as the pattern switches to -EPO is its early in the season when the volumetric snow and ice in the northern hemisphere is relatively low, background sea surface temps in the NH are at their highest for the entire winter, and the preceding extremely warm spell across most of Canada may sap many of these areas of snow cover, thus any incoming air masses may modify more quickly upon arrival here and we may need to see this pattern persist for a little while to fully suit our fancy & rebuild the snow pack in N America

 

[Montanasnow30]

I'm more focused on member #1!

Lol I just corrected my post I meant member 1

 

[Dewpoint Dan]

Man if member 1 was to verify I’m definitely snow chasing down south

You live in freaking Montana. Why would you travel 1,500+ miles to chase a southern snowstorm ?

 

[Montanasnow30]

That looks like it would suck! 10s/0’s highs for me!? No thank you please

I don’t know what I’ll do if I came close to seeing highs that freaking low hell im in Montana and I barely can get through these temps with the winds everyday lol I wonder what kind of extra gear I would need