And just as I suspected, the gefs is trash
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Ostrich December
- Thread starter SETNwx
- Start date
Nothing much happened that season.. pretty blah. NEXT. lol (not a La Nina either...)
I lived in Austin Tx then (1985), in high school. Actually had a couple of decent winters in the mid '80s down there.. But in Chattanooga, that was the last time there was an official below zero temp at the airport. -10, for god's sake. I'd love to experience that, outside of the Walmart freezer in the backroom. In Feb 96 I was in Chattanooga and it got down to 2 degrees officially, and -5 on my porch therm.
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BufordWX
Member
CMC still has a solid snow event for Oklahoma. Almost makes me wish I was there even though I have a hard time believing it will happen given the Canadian is practically alone.
UKMET, looks similar don’t it 
BufordWX
Member
GFS has drench city out in fantasy land for the upper south and Tennessee valley. Definitely gonna change, but still interesting to see.
Brent
Member
Yeah OKC definitely won't be the bullseye regardless lmao
What if you went to heaven, but god said
Southern stream wave with no cold
Southern stream wave with no cold
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
This is getting old real quick
I personally know luke Barrette, I’m so desperate I would go to his place for this
We only had the Storm of the Century that winter! If that's nothing much, well, I don't know what to say lol. You must be forgetting.
Soundings are basically A kelvin Benjamin Bojangles biscuit away from being a tight end type close to wintry precipitation 
----, I'm getting old and slow brained.. must refill that Adderall prescription soon!
Here we go, time to go 0/2 again 
nvm its a crap fest
were avoiding fantasy runs as much as we possibly can
I'll accept this as my tombstone pic, with 'failed poet' engraved below: 
Don't worry there will be one EPS member that saves us!
I liked my means skewed, just the best !!
Not even one, northern stream exits so fast and we’re just left with a SW Canada ridge, and a super marginal southern stream wave
back to this ugly Canadian ridge again, good luck getting cold air rooted into this 
NCSNOW
Member
NCSNOW
Member
Ive flipped through every model from last night, CFS included. See no torch. Frankly just close to normal seasonal weather. Few cold, BN, days on backside of cutters.
Looking like La nina which is in a moderate state is gonna fizzle out by early January, be in neutral state. Webb /Gawx what are yalls thoughts on this? To me this changes the backdrop and should trickle down to a pattern reshuffle Jan/Feb. I pretty much thought moderate La nina was gonnna last all winter.
Looking like La nina which is in a moderate state is gonna fizzle out by early January, be in neutral state. Webb /Gawx what are yalls thoughts on this? To me this changes the backdrop and should trickle down to a pattern reshuffle Jan/Feb. I pretty much thought moderate La nina was gonnna last all winter.
Any model run past 10 days IMO holds no weight. We see it all the time. Everyone on the board pulls out the weeklies and then post Jan and Feb future runs. December has been great so far. We all know we will see several storms from Jan-March. We don’t need a persistent cold. Let’s face it, in the south East all we need are the components to line up nicely one time and winter is a success.
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
La Nina won't fizzle out into ENSO neutral by January, even if it did, it takes months not days or weeks for the circulation pattern fo respond/adjust to that new ENSO base state, plus the SST thresholds being used to define it now are arguably too cold (biased towards El Nino), future, warmer base periods will thus likely-almost certainly show a stronger Nina than what we currently see.
Zonal pattern w/ strong +EPO means we're going to struggle to get any substantial cold air to enter the picture, even if it's not a "torch" it might as well be because a pattern like this sucks for cold/snow around here. It doesn't help when the subtropical NE Pacific is also running record warm.
AJ1013
Member
53F and sunny here this morning. Nice and crisp.
whatalife
Moderator
Wasn’t expecting to get this low this morning. Solid freeze for my area.
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Same got down to 22 here. Had to be teens for @metwannabe
Wasn’t expecting to get this low this morning. Solid freeze for my area.
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whatalife
Moderator
The Canadian went ham on the Sierra. Yes, please. I'm going.
Yeah I noticed over the weekend that bugs were a little sparse
Ya that would be cruel.
^^Yeah we would need a little more push of cold into CAD areas. And colder air to be tapped into. On the euro dew point temps are only in the 20s to our north over the MA area (at hour 162). That wont cut it, except if 850 temps were colder. Now the GFS is colder with upper teens to lower 20s. That's closer but it doesn't show the storm. Maybe we can get the euro storm with the GFS temps. I guess this is something to look at.
I win!!
You even saw snow flakes yesterday right? I don't know what's happening up here... the @NoSnowATL anti-Canadian curse I guess
No snow for me just rain