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Ostrich December

This is definitely more eye catching here, if 00z runs continue to show this I bet they go Slight 86798E08-4623-4121-9809-DB5A1A12B387.pngBEBA164A-3E58-490E-9479-C0C79F8D3216.pngC7FC2F92-5756-45AE-AE48-2938B9E43541.png
 
Myfrotho704_ said:
We know the hour 384 gfs sucks and is a meme, but it sorta matches what the gefs shows regarding the TPV, at this point it’s fun to look at View attachment 54175View attachment 54176
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I fear it's just the gfs doing what the gfs does. That said though the models want to send up another round of Ural ridging in the D7-10 and the tpv gets lobed into siberia. Maybe if we get lucky all the cards fall our way
 
Myfrotho704_ said:
We know the hour 384 gfs sucks and is a meme, but it sorta matches what the gefs shows regarding the TPV, at this point it’s fun to look at View attachment 54175View attachment 54176
Click to expand...
The few caveats we will have to contend with as the pattern switches to -EPO is its early in the season when the volumetric snow and ice in the northern hemisphere is relatively low, background sea surface temps in the NH are at their highest for the entire winter, and the preceding extremely warm spell across most of Canada may sap many of these areas of snow cover, thus any incoming air masses may modify more quickly upon arrival here and we may need to see this pattern persist for a little while to fully suit our fancy & rebuild the snow pack in N America
 
Dewpoint Dan said:
Darn i forgot that one. 2012-2013 sucked. Then 2015-2017 sucked.
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Up here 2009 / 2010 and 2010 / 2011 was great. 12,13,14 at least for me not so great. 2015 really good and 2016 saw the January mid Tennessee thumper with widespread 6-12 inches of snow for most. I got 12 inches which you can see in my avatar. 2017 was the worst winter ever since I’ve lived here and first and only were I never received more then Fluries and literally only 3 or 4 events of Fluries total. 2018 came back with a bang but 19 was garbage and 2020 was only slightly better.
 
olhausen said:
Up here 2009 / 2010 and 2010 / 2011 was great. 12,13,14 at least for me not so great. 2015 really good and 2016 saw the January mid Tennessee thumper with widespread 6-12 inches of snow for most. I got 12 inches which you can see in my avatar. 2017 was the worst winter ever since I’ve lived here and first and only were I never received more then Fluries and literally only 3 or 4 events of Fluries total. 2018 came back with a bang but 19 was garbage and 2020 was only slightly better.
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I have never seen 12 inches in a single storm in my life. The most I ever saw was in March 1993 with 10". I wanna see a foot before I die ! That is really hard to believe that a location as far north as you could go a winter without seeing any accumulating snow.
 
Montanasnow30 said:
I wonder how many snow events busted for the south since the 2010-2011 winters in my book when I was in Birmingham those two winters was awesome we even had days of flurries after a snowstorm and those winters was cold I mean cold ?
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I was in Birmingham during that time and it was absolutely awesome.
 
Loganelliott99 said:
Oh no is that the southeast ridge :(

Sent from my Pixel 3 using Tapatalk
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This is different, that’s at 10mb and it shows warming of the Stratospheric polar vortex/some displacement, this is good for winter weather lovers as it would likely bring a TPV along with it, 500mb is different
 
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