The latest run has the 2nd system coming in earlier this run. 
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Ostrich December
- Thread starter SETNwx
- Start date
I wouldn’t say it’s really coming in earlier, very different setup. That was our 50/50 low the last run.
JLL1973
Member
good low pressure track for the midsouth on mondays system. Gfs with much more precip. Just not enough cold air around
The differences between the GFS and ICON are crazy!
ATLwxfan
Member
Too many if thens usually means no.
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Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Yeah that ain’t a snow look. Maybe onset ice for northern Virginia. And I mean like 5 mins of ice tops
Bro wtf 
Iceagewhereartthou
Member
Too bad that NE L isn't an H about 300 miles south!
Check out this low transfer ?
Yeah doubt it.
but at second glance it looks like a low prossure system coming up from south FL and running just off the Carolina coast?
Yeah doubt it.
but at second glance it looks like a low prossure system coming up from south FL and running just off the Carolina coast?
Worse. 
@Myfrotho704_ If those heights in the Arctic are to be believed, then those low heights are coming south in a hurry
Hmmm
should be interesting to see what the euro does, with the second system it’s sorta matched the GFS lately
Sigh 
The GEFS trended in the wrong direction. Much warmer. SMH
Note this is the run-to-run change
Note this is the run-to-run change
Went from this 
To this
To this
I guess there’s just no consistency and models can’t be taken seriously, run to run changes are absolutely insane right now, it’s frustrating
I love the -AO/-NAO, but the Pacific looks really bad. That’s not to say we can’t thread the needle with a +PNA though. I’m not getting really excited until we see that nice ringing over AK, which may be possible if we get the MJO to go into phase 7 or 8. The latest GEFS has it nearing phase 7 around Christmas.
